TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe22a…cb75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
334
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT26948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 269 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$267.9
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$311.1
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$209.1
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.1
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$257.6
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.8
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$237.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.9
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.1
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.6
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.5
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.9
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$247.5
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.1
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.6
Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$241.32
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.9
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$209.1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.6
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$243
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$243
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.8
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$161
Showing 25 of 269 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003.6
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$666.9
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.2
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$451.2
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$506
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.3
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$247.5
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$322.4
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.6
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$227.9
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.1
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.4
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.2
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$600
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+181.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$120.35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+276.7%+$1,109.1
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$496
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.5
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.8
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.6
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$169.2
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$798
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.6
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$237.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$124.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$189
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.