MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e30f5081a246407549978c0a01bf382455cf4140167e0cce39436afab70993d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e64…8bf8backed Over | 60c | 9,866$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 5,378$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.69 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 49c | 5,063$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.82 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 50c | 5,040$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.38 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 4,758$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.29 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 3,684$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.96 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 36c | 2,999$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.64 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 53c | 2,574$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.32 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Under | 15c | 2,379$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.27 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +10.0wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 2,040$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 1c | 2,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Over | 1c | 1,793$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 25c | 1,691$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.27 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 52c | 1,521$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.92 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 35c | 1,352$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.11 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Over | 52c | 1,309$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,193$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.07 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 53c | 1,142$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 49c | 1,088$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.89 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 1,002$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.85 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 51c | 914.59$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.25 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 50c | 804.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.83 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 21c | 728.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.52 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 10c | 680.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 48c | 624.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.23 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 48c | 599.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 51c | 595$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.64 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 579.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 26c | 550.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.65 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 541.59$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.62 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 57c | 530$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 18c | 473.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 438.11$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.87 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 386.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 52c | 377.3$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 50c | 293.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 268.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Over | 34c | 237$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over | 76c | 222$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 212.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 205.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 205$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 50c | 198.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 46c | 196.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 54c | 178.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Under | 23c | 170$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 30c | 166.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 63c | 160.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 158$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed Over | 50c | 153.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 35c | 149.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 70c | 145.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadce…a482backed Over | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Under | 25c | 114.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 48c | 109.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 49c | 102.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4638…6b0abacked Under | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 50c | 97.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fbb0backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…d22ebacked Under | 74c | 88.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 53c | 88.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 50c | 85.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 51c | 74.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 75c | 70.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 67.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 428 | 49.1%210 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…c697backed Under | 25c | 54.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 49c | 54.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Under | 50c | 51.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 46c | 47.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Under | 66c | 45.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 50c | 44.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 40.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a302backed Under | 65c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…584cbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 24.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 52c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 321 | 53.9%173 W · 148 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.