TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c5c…e316

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13240.2%53 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.74
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+619.2%+$157.13
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.69
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$32.43
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.38
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+133%+$68.5
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$48.65
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$39.7
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.65
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.76
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.8
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$713.74
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$62.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$440.32
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.3
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$603
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68.7
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.95
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$35.19
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.2
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+310.3%+$122.52
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$98.72
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 184.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$36.18
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 188.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.25
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.