TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$319,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Panthers54c31,990$17,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,735.938747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cardinals46c26,450$12,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,245.3114850%74 W · 74 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Panthers39c12,970$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,969.522944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x525b…23b4backed Cardinals0c11,970$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Panthers46c10,998$5,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,952.523040%12 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Panthers53c9,500$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,465812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-76.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Cardinals45c9,418$4,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Panthers54c9,051$4,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.535658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Panthers54c7,746$4,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.888146.9%38 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cardinals46c7,433$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.122944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Panthers71c7,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cardinals48c5,885$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.7825956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cardinals46c5,686$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.074052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cardinals46c5,574$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.9421254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Cardinals47c5,320$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…c9a7backed Cardinals47c5,306$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.79922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Panthers65c4,791$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.016238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Cardinals45c4,790$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Cardinals48c4,500$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Panthers52c4,389$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.7118156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Cardinals50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Panthers69c3,992$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.6410858.3%63 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Cardinals52c3,881$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Panthers52c3,864$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.99853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cardinals49c3,023$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.4822550.7%114 W · 111 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Panthers70c2,915$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9021…0c62backed Panthers53c2,820$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.12259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cardinals47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17513654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Cardinals47c2,103$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cardinals49c2,003$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.044744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cardinals46c1,902$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.149145.1%41 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Panthers54c1,827$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.292147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Panthers54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82811946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Cardinals64c1,640$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0531136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe729…6cd0backed Panthers50c1,472$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Panthers70c1,432$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.854637%17 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Cardinals49c1,415$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.07757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Panthers43c1,378$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+155.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Panthers76c1,336$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Panthers70c1,197$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.153066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Cardinals55c1,192$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.6411958%69 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Panthers52c1,152$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Panthers50c1,150$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Cardinals1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e13…af03backed Cardinals27c995.46$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed Panthers53c966.44$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Panthers54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9312550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals49c916.8$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.7227348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers59c902.38$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6231056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Cardinals48c823.85$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.45922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Panthers43c800$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.15066%33 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd958…f864backed Cardinals54c772.71$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked Cardinals26c769.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd21…40aebacked Cardinals27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Panthers67c653.37$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Panthers47c643.43$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.943154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cardinals49c638.43$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5939447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Panthers48c601.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Cardinals50c596$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Cardinals59c588.19$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.992634.6%9 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Panthers53c585$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6117350.9%88 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Panthers50c574$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2873953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44f…3f19backed Panthers53c559.38$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers66c549.23$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5615952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Cardinals54c536.13$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8812151.2%62 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Cardinals51c518.82$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2672231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e0…6241backed Cardinals48c516$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Panthers75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Cardinals6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Cardinals47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals47c499.99$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23620650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2e…4257backed Panthers67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Panthers34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.997646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Panthers59c497.24$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Panthers53c490.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.571450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Cardinals39c483.64$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Panthers51c472.33$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3312343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Panthers36c442$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Cardinals48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Panthers53c407.4$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Panthers25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick35cpaid+73.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Cardinals50c399.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Panthers71c373.32$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.021968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Panthers54c348.82$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.484938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Panthers43c347.6$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.131855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa871…3932backed Panthers53c324.08$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Cardinals25c323.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.151040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Panthers63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.468257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f4e…cbaabacked Cardinals20c317.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Panthers30c316.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.678035%28 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Panthers36c305.91$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.911250%6 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+117%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Cardinals40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedde…5db2backed Panthers45c295.65$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Panthers29c288.38$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.753655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Panthers36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Panthers49c276.81$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1212842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cardinals76c263.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9914952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe74…3916backed Cardinals48c255.73$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Panthers52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Panthers43c241.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.58988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+69.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.