TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9767…1a16

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
474
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT35450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 354 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Madison Brengle vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Anastasia Gasanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.82
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.54
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$200.38
Winston-Salem Open: Francisco Comesana vs Yibing Wubacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$223.96
Philadelphia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$722.22
Augsburg: Mika Petkovic vs Federico Iannacconebacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.2
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele Seghettibacked Samuele Seghetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.49
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Adrienn Nagy vs Teodora Mironbacked Adrienn Nagy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.33
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Kokoro Isomura vs M Rifqi Fitriadibacked Kokoro Isomura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$863.8
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Meng Yi Chen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.56
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$319.32
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeevabacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Victoria Rodriguez vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Victoria Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.03
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$182.74
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Sebastian Gorzny vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$322.61
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.66
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Valentini Grammatikopouloubacked Valentini Grammatikopoulou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$185.03
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Sunam Jeong vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Meng Yi Chen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$135.42
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wongbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$207.25
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$116.57
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$213.33
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Semen Pankin vs Stefan Horia Haitabacked Semen Pankin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$560.86
Showing 25 of 354 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,802.97
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$101.82
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$668
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$342.26
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$67.57
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.69
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$132.65
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Libertybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$319.66
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+186.3%+$465.69
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$232.14
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$115
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.36
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$127.56
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.95
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$98.21
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$105.88
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$104.72
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$487.28
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$125.7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$124.9
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$192.37
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$183.66
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.68
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Patriotsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Chiefs vs. Buccaneersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Saints vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$352.95
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$252.29
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: DEN (-7.5)backed DEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.73
Spread: DEN (-6.5)backed DEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+239.4%+$504.35
Spread: PIT (-3.5)backed PIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,591.13
49ers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: BUF (-3.5)backed BUF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$318.18
Spread: SEA (-2.5)backed SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spread: PHI (-3.5)backed PHI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spread: MIN (-3.5)backed MIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Rams vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.44
Jaguars vs. Saintsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$353.63
Spread: DEN (-3.5)backed DEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$235.39
Buccaneers vs. Jetsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$267
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+107.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$102.27
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jean Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$115.29
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kevin Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Mullins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Mitch Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.77
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luana Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96%+$222.77
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$413.81
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.