TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Colorado Rockies, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$836,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$834,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Colorado Rockies42c120,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,399.941,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Colorado Rockies10c102,035$10,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,109.828220.7%17 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Colorado Rockies22c72,485$15,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,978.8385645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics58c45,000$26,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,90077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Colorado Rockies53c26,015$13,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,745.3297944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Athletics61c23,860$14,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,223.6143554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics75c22,247$16,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,625.1611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Athletics58c20,288$11,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,521.092,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Athletics63c19,433$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,132.92951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Athletics71c18,598$13,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,406.9831958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies35c17,428$6,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,116.754,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics48c16,439$7,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,546.936,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies42c15,814$6,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,641.7931149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Athletics58c12,521$7,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,258.8292054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics60c12,193$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,877.331,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Athletics60c10,207$6,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.0721242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Athletics60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.9953150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics66c9,626$6,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.7310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Colorado Rockies41c7,053$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.241,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics59c6,247$3,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.33,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies33c6,192$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.738,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics74c5,625$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.561,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Colorado Rockies37c5,030$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.1632251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Colorado Rockies39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics58c4,567$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.135,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Athletics61c4,428$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.7591252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics49c4,052$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.44,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies16c3,700$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.92,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Colorado Rockies53c3,617$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.2119239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Athletics47c3,567$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.552,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Athletics58c3,419$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.0532850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Athletics60c3,311$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.4417951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Colorado Rockies41c3,168$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.7638148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Athletics62c2,967$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.4669453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Colorado Rockies39c2,725$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.7627254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Colorado Rockies31c2,598$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.4795045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Athletics58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0507460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics57c2,263$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.231,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics58c2,236$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.981,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Athletics47c2,136$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.0479255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies21c1,882$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.513,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Athletics70c1,840$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5524,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics74c1,790$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.412,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d0…6219backed Colorado Rockies39c1,700$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies43c1,592$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.7212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Athletics59c1,525$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.4228944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies39c1,504$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.552,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Athletics59c1,500$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.543253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Athletics59c1,469$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.3254945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Colorado Rockies40c1,393$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.1829656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Colorado Rockies29c1,365$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.2152228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Colorado Rockies7c1,357$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957321.9%16 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies41c1,356$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.516,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Colorado Rockies36c1,344$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.831,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Athletics58c1,302$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.7225149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Athletics57c1,300$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55361352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Colorado Rockies40c1,277$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6250153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Colorado Rockies40c1,244$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.7436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Colorado Rockies11c1,208$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8713225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Colorado Rockies53c1,190$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.271850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Athletics58c1,125$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.618248.4%88 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Athletics46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.897050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Athletics48c1,076$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.281,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Athletics53c1,014$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.1151849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Athletics60c1,001$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.5934151.6%176 W · 165 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Colorado Rockies48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48014050.7%71 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Colorado Rockies37c879$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.1137941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics46c865.78$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.2270735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics61c855.86$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7960043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Athletics58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33685952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Athletics63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29621057.6%121 W · 89 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Athletics60c797.02$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.8121644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Athletics61c793.44$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.442445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics76c750.05$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.388,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0094…eea5backed Colorado Rockies8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60170%0 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6536…6ed1backed Athletics61c726$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics53c683.39$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.856,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics61c675.33$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.779,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies38c670$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.71,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics46c649.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.581,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Athletics60c648.46$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8737748.8%184 W · 193 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Athletics59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24624448.4%118 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Colorado Rockies37c590.5$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4911256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies36c540$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.42,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5f1…c7ffbacked Athletics60c516.16$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.231968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Athletics58c514.12$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9348147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed Athletics53c511.02$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.183548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Athletics54c505.85$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.694854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Colorado Rockies42c502.91$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6440043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Athletics62c500.24$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0320647.1%97 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed Athletics53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Colorado Rockies39c499.58$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8814858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Athletics61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.822153.4%118 W · 103 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Colorado Rockies52c482.08$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.682240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Colorado Rockies21c479.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics72c467.44$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.263,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Athletics69c422.88$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.168534.1%29 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics58c420$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.42,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Colorado Rockies49c404.75$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3353261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.