MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a579ae960f9fa9385cea173c78acea7e33626a439876ab11acf5763afe9374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 31c | 9,431$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 74c | 8,130$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,021.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 42c | 2,022$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 1,531$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 68c | 1,132$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.89 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 1,033$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.08 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 521.55$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.78 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 508.53$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 45c | 457$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 436.26$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Athletics | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Athletics | 63c | 408.82$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 403.11$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.68 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 401.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 58c | 380.09$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 314.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Athletics | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 44c | 219.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Athletics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 214.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Athletics | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Athletics | 55c | 177.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 51c | 161.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 18c | 156.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 44c | 151.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Athletics | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Colorado Rockies | 23c | 137.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletics | 30c | 126.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Colorado Rockies | 77c | 116.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Colorado Rockies | 23c | 104.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Athletics | 45c | 102$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Athletics | 46c | 101.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 98.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Athletics | 72c | 90.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Athletics | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 66c | 82.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Athletics | 24c | 78.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Colorado Rockies | 77c | 78.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Colorado Rockies | 80c | 74.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Colorado Rockies | 75c | 70.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 22c | 67.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Colorado Rockies | 76c | 66.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 66.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 65.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…87f8backed Athletics | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Colorado Rockies | 77c | 63.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Athletics | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 33c | 54.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Athletics | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Athletics | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 45.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…05a2backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Athletics | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 31.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Athletics | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Athletics | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Colorado Rockies | 76c | 22.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 20.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 94 | 73.4%69 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 69c | 18.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Colorado Rockies | 78c | 15.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Colorado Rockies | 79c | 15.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…93afbacked Athletics | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 420 | 41.9%176 W · 244 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.