TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6046…87f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16,551.74
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$21,106.07
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,222.28
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,788.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,535.09
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,607.42
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,639Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+121%+$6,825.81
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.53
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,327.29
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$24,326.46
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$7,384.62
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,681.11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$15,140.74
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,726.66
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,472.19
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,868.44
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,424.53
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$9,817Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$16,154.29
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,831.53
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.49
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.4
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)backed largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+45%+$219.29
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.81
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,873Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$692.75
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,234
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$13.69
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$539.2
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$257.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$297.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hanfmann vs. Halys: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsbacked Fennel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.