TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
QT DIG∞of QT DIG∞, Fennel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed QT DIG∞49c15,807$7,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,014.8534356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Fennel51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fennel41c5,070$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.4928743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed QT DIG∞50c4,982$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.0625554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed QT DIG∞70c2,433$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed QT DIG∞52c2,195$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.8123151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Fennel51c1,825$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.9856551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Fennel49c1,634$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.4519860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fennel50c1,582$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.5528143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865c…4079backed Fennel48c1,073$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+116.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Fennel50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fennel50c955.7$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.8584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked QT DIG∞51c896.38$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed QT DIG∞57c879.8$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.151,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fennel25c842.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.151,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed QT DIG∞50c755.9$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.96570.8%46 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed QT DIG∞49c699.98$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.995263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Fennel51c640.9$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8619546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Fennel50c616$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3085738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Fennel50c587.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.823655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Fennel50c570.15$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.084146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed QT DIG∞50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Fennel50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fennel50c480.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6924551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Fennel40c461.82$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6996245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed QT DIG∞50c440.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.438145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Fennel51c386.31$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.178357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fennel28c354$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.720138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc475…8eefbacked Fennel51c333.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed QT DIG∞50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1609845.9%45 W · 53 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Fennel50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15513455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Fennel51c296.1$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.012850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Fennel42c271.5$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1223732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed QT DIG∞76c266.62$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Fennel50c260.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7517853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Fennel40c259.25$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6321136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fennel44c253.89$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5877744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d1f…c47bbacked Fennel51c249.02$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed QT DIG∞57c244.03$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9349255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked QT DIG∞50c237.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.656666.7%44 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Fennel50c222.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3363447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fennel50c220.58$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.296959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Fennel51c220$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2935142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Fennel51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Fennel40c210.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0326932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Fennel49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed QT DIG∞49c197$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4723055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Fennel51c196.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Fennel51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fennel49c195.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9912550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed QT DIG∞78c194.87$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.35464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Fennel51c189$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3913741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Fennel50c181.22$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6127145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked QT DIG∞59c180.32$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.31,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Fennel50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Fennel50c180$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.628252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Fennel43c179.18$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1630835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fennel34c173.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3690733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fennel16c158.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2377929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Fennel36c152.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.45225%13 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Fennel50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked QT DIG∞50c148$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed Fennel28c139.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked QT DIG∞69c126.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.311,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked QT DIG∞50c122.55$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.281770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked QT DIG∞50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6013148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Fennel23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.624032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Fennel51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked QT DIG∞72c117$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2955637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Fennel50c116.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1813661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Fennel51c112.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5215843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Fennel56c110.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.013148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9702…ca89backed Fennel10c109.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Fennel41c107.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4716144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6046…87f8backed Fennel51c106$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Fennel47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0814345.5%65 W · 78 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fennel24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2488844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Fennel50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fennel24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Fennel49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Fennel49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Fennel51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fennel49c89.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2660154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed QT DIG∞74c87.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.821,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Fennel51c86.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3320051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c10…30f1backed QT DIG∞77c83.2$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.875100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked QT DIG∞51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.233753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Fennel51c79.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3323745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Fennel51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed QT DIG∞50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.452955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed QT DIG∞49c70.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.953748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Fennel49c68.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6334443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked QT DIG∞50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.952470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4531…7779backed Fennel54c59.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a9…96ecbacked Fennel51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Fennel50c54.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed QT DIG∞50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2725453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3e…db66backed QT DIG∞49c53.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.11546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked QT DIG∞51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9811754.7%64 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked QT DIG∞71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.