TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x065c…47de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
353
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 63 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT13850.7%70 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Los Cabos Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.1
Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
The Memphis Classic: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Sloane Stephensbacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.82
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontamabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.93
The Memphis Classic: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cadence Bracebacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$26.41
Bonn: Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$53.61
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanchbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$65.42
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.8
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.53
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.39
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$115.96
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.77
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Mark Lajalbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.18
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.89
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolfbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$41.13
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.12
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.24
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.58
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$98.19
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.53
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.28
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gastonbacked Tiago Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.14
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halysbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.86
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT8549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.27
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.94
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.91
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.52
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.18
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.55
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.41
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.66
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$123.35
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$29.6
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$73.21
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$108.04
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$78.33
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.11
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.78
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$60.88
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.47
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$78.38
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.38
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.63
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.92
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4566.7%30 W · 15 L+8.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$50.24
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+900%+$227.4
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$20.45
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$84.6
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$81.19
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.2
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$12.66
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.84
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.62
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$76.94
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$12.09
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.29
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.64
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$147.93
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$36.43
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$27.86
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$15.74
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.23
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68%+$45.95
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$61.75
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.75
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Muhammad Said · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$72.39
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.49
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Tommy McMillen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.03
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$102.42
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.98
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$121.74
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ezra Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$92.09
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Alvin Hines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.74
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.41
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$21.05
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$20.34
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.89
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.18
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.86
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.47
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Cesar Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ryan Gandra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$35.86
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$61.28
Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsbacked REJECT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$25.23
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.31
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$93.15
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.56
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$37.51
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$72.68
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$53.9
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$115.45
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$77.06
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.01
Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.58
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$21.2
Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.89
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.81
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$180.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.72
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.14
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.62
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.61
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$127.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.08
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.71
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.79
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Skybacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.96
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.61
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$91.26
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.6
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.89
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.74
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+363.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+363.8%+$84.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$13.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.