Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x344704d91efb3ed0c3e2ecba372dcebbb4f4db899d781ec419ebe64442fff2d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 14c | 46,678$6,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,414 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 15c | 44,859$6,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,702.01 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 3c | 9,658$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 3c | 8,960$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.29 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 8c | 7,913$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.12 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 15c | 6,949$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Yes | 13c | 6,894$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 16c | 6,631$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.38 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 14c | 5,038$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.85 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,766$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 16c | 4,541$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.91 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 26c | 4,479$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 4,145$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.2 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 18c | 4,079$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.2 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 12c | 4,059$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,821$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.94 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 19c | 3,741$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.27 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…f834backed Yes | 7c | 3,400$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 18c | 2,849$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,703$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 8c | 2,338$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…ad21backed Yes | 5c | 2,202$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.52 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,889$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 9c | 1,867$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ce…f48bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,860$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 17c | 1,591$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 14c | 1,577$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,420$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…cadabacked Yes | 8c | 1,400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…0208backed Yes | 5c | 1,351$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 18c | 1,343$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5a12backed Yes | 14c | 1,326$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.69 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +403.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 1,286$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,175$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…6327backed No | 76c | 1,150$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 15c | 1,126$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…d7b9backed Yes | 1c | 1,091$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,016$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe774…6457backed Yes | 2c | 1,009$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…1c07backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 21c | 950$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 20c | 844$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 16c | 818.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…decabacked No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…eb20backed Yes | 11c | 764.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…aa05backed No | 76c | 656.85$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked No | 76c | 650$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…182dbacked Yes | 24c | 530.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed No | 72c | 519$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…b4f2backed Yes | 13c | 500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…fa2ebacked Yes | 7c | 476.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ab9ebacked Yes | 29c | 442.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 414.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…ad9cbacked Yes | 18c | 403.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…9d54backed Yes | 3c | 363.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…5448backed Yes | 6c | 314.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…6482backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…21c3backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a2…4763backed Yes | 7c | 200.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…0486backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…4406backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a70…b3cbbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…3650backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed No | 71c | 199.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…b4f9backed Yes | 14c | 189.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 70c | 188$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…89f5backed No | 79c | 179.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Yes | 11c | 177.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…d30cbacked Yes | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…ec0ebacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…7463backed Yes | 13c | 154.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…1bf4backed Yes | 21c | 149.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…7b05backed Yes | 17c | 146.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked No | 78c | 146$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes | 18c | 138.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc7…3976backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed No | 80c | 98.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked No | 77c | 97.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 17c | 95.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked No | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…b7e5backed Yes | 24c | 89.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6314…78e9backed No | 78c | 83.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…1f60backed No | 80c | 77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…2ef8backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…ff15backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,700 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.