Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee3bd16bf1b5281be41c23ace65f1b2aef7d71fafcb03d4a75486eab46a175dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabea…ffa8backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…b752backed No | 50c | 19,448$9,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,651.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 25c | 10,222$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.91 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 47c | 8,170$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.58 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 7,728$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.17 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 72c | 6,677$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.94 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 40c | 5,244$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 44c | 5,006$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.25 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,757$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 49c | 4,098$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 15c | 3,265$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.31 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,253$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.09 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…41c6backed No | 12c | 2,756$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…932cbacked No | 54c | 2,291$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 2,131$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 27c | 1,732$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…e01bbacked No | 13c | 1,623$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…55cdbacked No | 47c | 1,570$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 1,486$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 62c | 1,400$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.58 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 19c | 1,392$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed No | 67c | 1,373$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.63 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 62c | 1,134$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.55 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…744fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,122$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 57c | 840$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…0dd9backed Yes | 7c | 828.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…feebbacked No | 49c | 809.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…06babacked Yes | 74c | 762.5$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…c365backed Yes | 15c | 631.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 3c | 582$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 3c | 554.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 4c | 537.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 36c | 536.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f209backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 40c | 497.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…0550backed Yes | 38c | 495.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Yes | 45c | 483.24$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 48c | 481.93$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 47c | 471.73$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 464$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…13f7backed Yes | 11c | 458.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +464.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…4ef7backed Yes | 26c | 458.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes | 12c | 446.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…d33fbacked Yes | 53c | 354$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…5723backed No | 65c | 308.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Yes | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes | 44c | 288.25$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 69c | 280$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 34c | 277.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…4a2ebacked Yes | 79c | 254.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…ddfbbacked No | 60c | 250$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…64a7backed No | 65c | 212.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…afa8backed Yes | 67c | 209.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed No | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…8f35backed No | 9c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…8e9dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f78…ae4abacked Yes | 45c | 199$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked No | 69c | 196.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e7d4backed Yes | 54c | 184.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…b4f2backed Yes | 14c | 172.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 76c | 170.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…77f4backed No | 61c | 159.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed No | 58c | 152.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57b6backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…97babacked No | 35c | 144.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…3f18backed Yes | 68c | 125.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 57c | 115.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ab9ebacked Yes | 22c | 111.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…04a0backed No | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…6c18backed Yes | 70c | 105.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 54c | 99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…3c27backed Yes | 54c | 92.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 78c | 86.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…2b32backed Yes | 27c | 86.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9957…daecbacked No | 23c | 83.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…1064backed No | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54e…9598backed No | 67c | 74.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…183cbacked No | 72c | 69.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…6807backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…9b5fbacked Yes | 31c | 65.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked No | 56c | 65.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 17c | 60.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…59abbacked Yes | 21c | 58.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…df77backed No | 50c | 55.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed No | 56c | 53.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8836…f7d6backed Yes | 28c | 53.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 25c | 53.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…c19ebacked No | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed Yes | 34c | 46.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed No | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…d0f8backed Yes | 60c | 44.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e58…db00backed Yes | 47c | 42.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…6270backed Yes | 42c | 40.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…21eabacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52a…e276backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…2958backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1ef1backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,700 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.