TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf632…02aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
249
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst Cricket at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7321.9%16 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.62
Will XRP dip to $1.30 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will XRP dip to $1.10 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$123.59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+756.1%+$470.1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$88.7
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$96.86
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+512.1%+$608.75
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+349.4%+$311
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.7
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+226.1%+$24.96
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+160%+$66.7
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+283.7%+$125.7
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$57.64
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$85.05
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$53.62
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$61.1
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+95.1%+$19.49
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
Rockets vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+65.3%+$15.79
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+97.4%+$121.99
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$67.9
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$65.68
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+450.8%+$266
Clippers vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$105.2
Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Raptors vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+102.2%+$65.7
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT258%2 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-70.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.73
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.04
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.16
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
ODi Series South Africa vs Pakistan, Women: South Africa vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$69.3
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$37.73
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 3)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$178.9
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game Final)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.34
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$46.05
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$86.9
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$113
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+204.9%+$33.6
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$132.89
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$59.85
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.47
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+346.2%+$77.28
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.47
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$39.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$87.6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$187.71
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+261.9%+$414.07
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+73.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$119.6
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+106.5%+$72.2
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$41.18
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+124.2%+$55.4
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+334.8%+$77
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+119%+$81.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Set 2 Winner: Shnaider vs Chwalinskabacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28
Set 2 Winner: Cirstea vs Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Frech vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$41.19
Set 2 Winner: Paul vs Hurkaczbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kasintseva vs. Putintseva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-61.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$68.9
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+200.3%+$486.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$7.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$44.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.