TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$541,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$544,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,631 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcbfd…4d53backed Over50c15,681$7,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,840.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Over53c15,000$7,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,909.634465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe002…6958backed Under50c14,499$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,249.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a7…bb6abacked Over50c13,232$6,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,616333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc96b…7777backed Over50c13,018$6,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfa2…90acbacked Over50c11,764$5,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,882250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…92b9backed Under50c11,603$5,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,801.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce3d…3951backed Under50c10,270$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4af1…63e9backed Under52c10,076$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,836.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d98…56cfbacked Under50c9,652$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,827.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6d…c537backed Under50c9,601$4,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,800.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e3…3192backed Over50c9,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b7…1eabbacked Under52c9,374$4,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf274…ee54backed Over50c9,254$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,627250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd606…8f31backed Over48c9,246$4,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,438.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…3031backed Over50c9,124$4,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,562250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4c…cd03backed Under50c8,505$4,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,252.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe013…65b3backed Over50c8,415$4,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,207.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6167…7761backed Under50c8,403$4,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce6…a52dbacked Under50c8,322$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1613100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2729…a0cfbacked Under50c8,281$4,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0482…c830backed Under50c8,213$4,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,106.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5520…309fbacked Under50c8,211$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,105.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda4a…c7fabacked Under50c8,185$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,092.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca2…15cbbacked Over50c8,132$4,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,06610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7639…cae4backed Under50c8,126$4,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0633100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb7…3930backed Under50c8,112$4,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5f…6327backed Over50c8,084$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,04210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb6…4897backed Under50c8,083$4,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.34333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3685…0e21backed Over50c8,056$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,027.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4792…ac6fbacked Over50c8,031$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc27…4c3abacked Over50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcea…4645backed Over50c7,991$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb18…3580backed Over50c7,899$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8061…5144backed Under50c7,764$3,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a6…d42bbacked Under50c7,735$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,867.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c7,729$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.593,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…e55dbacked Under50c7,706$3,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad0…db4dbacked Under52c7,540$3,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f1…0ecabacked Under52c7,534$3,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,616.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4564…63bebacked Under50c7,453$3,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,726.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf013…d19bbacked Under50c7,410$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,705250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5798…dc79backed Under50c7,356$3,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d0…5c5abacked Over50c7,324$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb839…3dc2backed Over50c7,296$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e5…4f17backed Under50c7,201$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a7…7030backed Over50c7,198$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4193…3ab2backed Under50c7,196$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,598540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b10…b4ffbacked Over48c7,166$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.6850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdccf…28eebacked Over50c7,163$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc13…4ba3backed Over50c7,158$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b11…e9febacked Under50c7,102$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…d6b4backed Under50c7,051$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe07c…3c8bbacked Over50c7,034$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7574…7040backed Over48c7,030$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4e…7d3dbacked Over50c7,009$3,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70bc…4876backed Over50c7,005$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a1…ec9abacked Under50c6,999$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa826…a0ecbacked Under52c6,993$3,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ba…0dfebacked Over50c6,970$3,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb39e…7dc5backed Over50c6,969$3,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,484.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb122…c820backed Over50c6,810$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,405333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896c…7d4ebacked Over50c6,786$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,39320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1f…ae7dbacked Under50c6,717$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x893a…d50dbacked Over50c6,705$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9edb…9ec3backed Over50c6,616$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8737…c3fcbacked Over50c6,545$3,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,272.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054c…d796backed Over50c6,483$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8edc…7796backed Under50c6,415$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,207.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x310f…925bbacked Under50c6,363$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8b…37f1backed Under50c6,323$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6976…401ebacked Under50c6,317$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c25…b44cbacked Under50c6,281$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd64f…a8dbbacked Over50c6,270$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,13510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9116…f6f3backed Under50c6,164$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d81…f14bbacked Under50c6,033$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…a873backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…7493backed Over50c5,806$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0b…fe77backed Over51c5,800$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db7…bc82backed Over50c5,799$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x833b…7297backed Over48c5,750$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…1befbacked Under50c5,725$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0b…4fb1backed Over50c5,720$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…88aabacked Under49c5,710$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…746bbacked Under50c5,700$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aaf…a9ffbacked Under50c5,696$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c1…f17bbacked Over50c5,684$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x060e…3f68backed Over50c5,556$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc794…ccecbacked Under50c5,490$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd41…937cbacked Over48c5,436$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc63…f6b4backed Over50c5,430$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2739…65e3backed Under50c5,391$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b05…d173backed Over50c5,308$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba4…2274backed Over51c5,300$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b0…92b9backed Under50c5,297$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b3…d306backed Over50c5,200$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3639…e772backed Under49c5,100$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596.03450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c6…2d59backed Over51c5,010$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71af…0160backed Under50c4,982$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1c…21d6backed Over50c4,944$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.