TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Clippers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,803 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers47c32,912$15,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,472.882,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Wizards53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,40020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Wizards53c13,553$7,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,370.1225753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards51c11,728$5,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,746.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Clippers49c6,500$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wizards53c6,100$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,86729748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wizards52c5,876$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers47c5,800$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72658449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e26…6561backed Clippers48c5,300$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454f…04e7backed Wizards51c5,006$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.712755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Clippers51c4,935$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Wizards51c4,857$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.6939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf912…d178backed Wizards52c4,800$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e2…2c81backed Clippers49c4,350$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.51275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers50c4,290$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.851,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada0…ed81backed Wizards52c4,200$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Clippers48c4,176$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.6642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards49c3,953$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.883,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4986…37e7backed Clippers48c3,930$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf673…9142backed Clippers48c3,700$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…1f50backed Wizards52c3,325$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+65.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Clippers48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347d…d5ccbacked Wizards52c3,123$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1679…e6aabacked Wizards52c2,963$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f74…3ba0backed Clippers48c2,763$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8762…cf7dbacked Clippers48c2,601$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9848…03b6backed Clippers48c2,591$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6917…9e2bbacked Wizards52c2,586$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc9…4965backed Wizards52c2,585$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff7…1172backed Wizards52c2,578$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d88…acb3backed Clippers48c2,577$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2de…b214backed Clippers48c2,563$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7604…aab4backed Clippers48c2,553$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cad…9bbcbacked Wizards52c2,552$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41bb…dd28backed Clippers48c2,552$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb311…fd27backed Wizards52c2,548$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f6…ea97backed Wizards52c2,546$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9760…865cbacked Clippers48c2,543$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Wizards63c2,542$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.1738046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b16…1b2cbacked Clippers48c2,540$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0553…1938backed Wizards52c2,531$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x582e…35b0backed Clippers48c2,525$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x062e…6f5abacked Wizards52c2,523$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed06…0d78backed Wizards52c2,393$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…9763backed Clippers48c2,386$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards52c1,609$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Wizards53c1,600$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75616053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers36c1,536$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Clippers49c1,443$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.851457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4918…8573backed Wizards51c1,360$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers37c1,246$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.023,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards52c1,221$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.081,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Clippers48c1,206$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.6535747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Clippers48c1,136$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.198961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Clippers49c1,025$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Clippers49c1,001$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49550954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Clippers19c697.85$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5817233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wizards53c635.82$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.172,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards51c587.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.112,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Clippers49c572.98$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.762030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Wizards51c530$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.714042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wizards52c413$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.241,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Clippers6c399.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9539018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Clippers31c326.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0535532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers50c321.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Wizards76c316.31$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2950347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Wizards51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1215052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Wizards52c235.58$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0853149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards51c234.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Wizards52c234.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.562,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Clippers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Wizards50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe833…1723backed Wizards53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Clippers48c186$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0168940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Wizards54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1923553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Wizards51c180.5$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.145650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Clippers47c174.55$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.043852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers48c166$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Wizards52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8519548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Wizards50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6066143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Clippers47c113.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2962541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wizards52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Wizards51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b5…b26dbacked Clippers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Clippers23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.14025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Wizards53c92.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4538347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Clippers48c87.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427437.8%28 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Clippers48c78.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.795244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards54c70.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3768542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Clippers49c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3645657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Wizards52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.468555.3%47 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Clippers47c59.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.081850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Wizards52c57.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.671,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Clippers47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Wizards54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2338252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Wizards52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2465855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Wizards52c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5371245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Wizards51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.871,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.