TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92bf…0f9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST4146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49.85
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$11.76
Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.87
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-18.5)backed Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+97.5%+$44.16
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+94.6%+$45.06
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$54.86
Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+94.8%+$44.48
Washington State Cougars vs. San Diego Torerosbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$45.77
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.29
East Carolina Pirates vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.44
Spread: Troy Trojans (-7.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.19
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+84.9%+$43.79
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$44.87
Spread: Murray State Racers (-5.5)backed Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$57.44
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+89.1%+$41.68
Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$48.28
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.8%+$33.23
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$62.64
Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$52.2
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+91.4%+$50.88
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-17.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$33.71
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+98.9%+$14.59
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.84
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.84
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.61
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.33
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$27.8
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.77
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.54
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$21.87
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.82
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.59
Suns vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.95
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.88
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.4%+$30.66
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.97
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.08
Spread: Bulls (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.93
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+50.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$22.4
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60.93
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.65
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.84
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.28
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$22.5
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$23.08
Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$31.65
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.48
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$30.34
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46.96
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$21.26
Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.7%+$12.2
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+87.9%+$32.66
Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$20.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+145.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$21.35
Senegal vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+54.6%+$16.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.27
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$21.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.