TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$724,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$724,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c580,945$304,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276,697.2535945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c350,000$166,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,499.9921754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c150,000$71,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,50069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c65,000$31,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,25090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under50c50,200$24,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,976.5612754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over51c25,286$12,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,435.344454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Over51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,800540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over51c19,499$9,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,522.565347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c12,715$6,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,196.2512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c12,600$6,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,047.910441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under48c12,174$5,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,843.757353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c7,969$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,882.625,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under48c7,033$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.7516954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under27c5,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.438747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c1,423$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.041,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c1,159$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.224451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Under48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52811347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c1,066$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.42,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5305959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under48c855.28$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5339744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under48c850$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38414150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under49c770$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.126740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over53c766.17$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.16445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under49c700$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.511946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under71c699.99$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.898750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under48c498.1$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1711159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2ca…0ac2backed Over76c497.75$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.471888.9%16 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+106.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under4c400$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under8c350.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.043,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over51c332.08$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.827955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Under49c305.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over52c252$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9632146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over53c247.23$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.29440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under49c225.09$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under45c225$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe98d…8fe0backed Under5c202.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick22cpaid+94.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c186.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.543,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over52c186.43$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.485444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Over53c170.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.231637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12013851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under50c142.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0619653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked Under53c130.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.071428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over51c125.35$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4244146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under48c124.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8810049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Over48c115.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.162853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over49c113.22$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under49c112.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Over53c109.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.593043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b8…6f30backed Over48c104.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under49c100.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512580%20 W · 5 L+8.2wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+136.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5438645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf891…d3b6backed Under51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over53c97.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.044344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under49c93.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1711858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Over20c89.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.873551.4%18 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2817943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under49c83.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c80.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.44,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.611147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173d…9f81backed Under63c78.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.76560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under48c72.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.77957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under49c67.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2912560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under48c65.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.657252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…c8fbbacked Under49c64.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over53c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.188547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under49c60.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.299257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under48c59.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5121059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under49c56.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.947844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07a6…ca7dbacked Under76c55.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under48c50.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0912341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over46c47.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.576065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Under53c45.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.23053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Under49c43.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.386556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdd5…9138backed Under49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over53c38.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.294146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1881…85a2backed Under49c37.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.312245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under48c36.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.735549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Under48c35.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.923745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.551,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.558452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under49c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.315763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Under48c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.965549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.