TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5995…3385

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
231
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST5959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.06
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.9%+$16.59
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.03
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.1%+$7.8
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.4%+$10.42
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$89.95
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35.07
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+137.1%+$123.04
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+67.2%+$35.41
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$28.84
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20.86
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+57%+$41.71
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+1,931.3%+$193.13
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+43.6%+$35.49
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+70.4%+$19.52
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+103.4%+$50.25
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+197.7%+$121.24
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+36.4%+$21.65
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+114.3%+$171.46
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.3%+$15.66
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+98.7%+$24.32
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST5152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.63
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55.7
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$19.71
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$29.43
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.63
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61.27
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44.34
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.46
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$19.96
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$34.26
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.96
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+139.2%+$51.64
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.88
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.72
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$48.26
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$63.21
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$45.3
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$75.31
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$70.6
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$50.27
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35.7
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.9%+$85.93
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.75
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST5151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+121.5%+$120.89
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Nicholls Colonels vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.9%+$157.3
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.63
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.71
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+51%+$7.57
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.32
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 44-45°F on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 30-31°F on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.66
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 42°F or higher on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.86
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.93
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.4%+$4.68
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 8-9°F on January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.96
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C on January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.2%+$13.34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.37
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -10°C on January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+74.6%+$20.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.83
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+211.3%+$52.94
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Australian Open Men's: Vit Kopriva vs Taylor Fritzbacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+79.1%+$79.09
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+149.6%+$149.58
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Arouca vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked Aurora Young Blood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.1%+$34.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.