NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86dee91568e6ce3a9c7b370e406197c89ecfad4e78a8d6788aaaec812728499c

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,248 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	22,902$11,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,900.58	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Over	52c	21,953$11,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,409.51	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	4,681$2,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,407.73	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	3,459$1,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,729.33	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	51c	2,951$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,513.73	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	50c	2,402$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,201.48	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	50c	2,200$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	48c	1,708$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.86	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	50c	1,314$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.03	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	52c	1,085$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.66	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	52c	1,022$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.75	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	49c	683.59$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.21	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	612.56$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.81	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under	49c	611.98$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.11	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	519.65$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	48c	480.99$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.96	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	50c	415.32$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.32	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	47c	397.4$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.77	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over	52c	329.49$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.37	215	46.5%100 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.12	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Over	52c	298.12$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.02	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	276.36$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	50c	256.19$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.18	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Over	52c	247.4$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.65	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	51c	204.08$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over	49c	153.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x103e…062dbacked Over	52c	147.65$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.78	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Over	52c	138.38$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.96	106	59.4%63 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	48c	126.3$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.62	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Over	52c	125.15$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.08	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over	52c	121.56$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.21	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over	52c	101.66$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.67	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Over	53c	86.3$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.74	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over	52c	76.18$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.61	111	45%50 W · 61 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Over	52c	73.48$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.21	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Over	52c	71.63$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.25	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Over	52c	71.19$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.02	70	60%42 W · 28 L	+8.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Over	52c	70.94$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.89	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked Over	52c	69.88$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.34	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Over	52c	59.33$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.85	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under	48c	55.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.12	323	52.6%170 W · 153 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Over	49c	54.82$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Over	53c	51.42$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	47c	49.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.36	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52f…db16backed Over	52c	47.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over	52c	45.36$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Over	52c	42.04$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	76	50%38 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89a7…742abacked Over	52c	41.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Over	52c	41.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcc…48cfbacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d3…3296backed Over	53c	32.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-7.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x07ea…aab9backed Over	52c	31.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6909…8edbbacked Over	53c	30.36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522e…02e7backed Over	53c	29.94$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under	53c	29.36$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	409	60.6%248 W · 161 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over	52c	28.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	226	55.3%125 W · 101 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc440…922ebacked Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over	52c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under	48c	28.11$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.62	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Over	52c	27.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Over	53c	27.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd70…843ebacked Over	52c	26.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fab…b213backed Over	55c	26.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over	47c	25.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x862d…bc9bbacked Over	52c	25.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6b…7e84backed Over	52c	24.96$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over	50c	24.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeba…d2d8backed Over	52c	19.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8755…e152backed Over	53c	19.21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Hawks won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 16.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Rockets vs. HawksRockets won
Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
Tari Eason: Points O/U 11.5No won
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event