TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xce16…749f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT11755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$15.37
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$14.35
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$25.64
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.76
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.91
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.07
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.17
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.36
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$24.26
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$48.59
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$51.93
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.13
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$99.38
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$32.09
Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.29
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15.33
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52.27
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$55.03
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$53.19
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$34.06
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60.82
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.64
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.17
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.16
Penguins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.4
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$33.97
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.32
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$23.26
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$372.1
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+84.3%+$115.59
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$67.34
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$152.26
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Lille Esport vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$29
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.7%+$50.17
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36.25
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+59.9%+$68.04
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.78
LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.7
LoL: Solary vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.21
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.61
LoL: Priority vs KIA.eSuba Academy (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked KIA.eSuba Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$193.36
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$43.58
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.1%+$68.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37.9%+$26.12
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$422.24
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.37
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+112%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.09
Will FC Porto vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+194.1%+$112.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+41.8%+$7.6
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$73.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.1%+$16.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$6.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.2%+$4.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.3%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.