Chess · resolved market
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbcf85f7f477eb6a29820205b439d06f4cd64988e5f09f86dcd62c9e97849701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 72c | 34,132$24,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,390.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 69c | 4,161$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.09 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes | 71c | 3,576$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 66c | 3,494$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…0bf1backed Yes | 73c | 2,524$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…45b9backed No | 28c | 2,181$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 30c | 2,097$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.6 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed No | 32c | 2,078$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…d258backed Yes | 76c | 1,939$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked No | 20c | 1,685$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,644$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 1,609$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked No | 11c | 1,500$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 66c | 1,468$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 77c | 1,358$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.48 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 15c | 1,253$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…3bb2backed Yes | 65c | 1,237$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…cfb4backed No | 26c | 1,123$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 55c | 1,100$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,010$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…504fbacked No | 27c | 990$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 20c | 963$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 32c | 911.33$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…735ebacked Yes | 73c | 883.51$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes | 65c | 869.27$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…e2e0backed No | 33c | 857.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…6333backed Yes | 72c | 832.56$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…124ebacked Yes | 62c | 763.41$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 61c | 734.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…1f7ebacked Yes | 72c | 724.16$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 19c | 715.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 57c | 712.57$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…d95fbacked Yes | 58c | 711.56$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f6…ee26backed No | 17c | 656.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed No | 45c | 650.01$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…ab26backed No | 27c | 629.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 18c | 624$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 19c | 623.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Yes | 62c | 614.65$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…6ff8backed Yes | 66c | 602.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 55c | 599.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 18c | 576.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 22c | 525$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 10c | 520.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 15c | 502.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…1df1backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17c…b09cbacked Yes | 56c | 491.82$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 39c | 476.48$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 452.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 20c | 445.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 76c | 445.11$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 28c | 424.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 19c | 407$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa42…b9ebbacked No | 30c | 405.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 72c | 401$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 62c | 400$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…deeebacked No | 18c | 400$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 70c | 393.46$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 383.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 31c | 377.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…d6c4backed Yes | 71c | 368.21$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1947backed Yes | 72c | 331.84$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…084ebacked No | 31c | 329.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…39f6backed Yes | 62c | 323.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes | 65c | 309.7$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…09a6backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…df78backed Yes | 73c | 301.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…c412backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…73b8backed Yes | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Yes | 72c | 292.21$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…7421backed No | 17c | 287.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 68c | 270.79$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca2…711dbacked No | 14c | 268.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 247.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked Yes | 71c | 246.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed No | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…f5efbacked No | 25c | 238.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked No | 17c | 238.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…623bbacked Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Yes | 73c | 234$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2fd8backed Yes | 66c | 216.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…a61cbacked No | 21c | 211.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8b…2183backed No | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…91adbacked Yes | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked No | 15c | 204.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…a66bbacked Yes | 78c | 201.75$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…c306backed Yes | 63c | 201.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 61c | 200.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…b528backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Wesley So win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.