Chess · resolved market
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x776ba221c8b557a21c70249e1d7639c2b1b4b39b992141a44c1735e9d7c8ab96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5286…0d47backed Yes | 17c | 14,423$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 9c | 11,075$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.27 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes | 12c | 9,193$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 12c | 7,067$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a13…12dbbacked Yes | 15c | 7,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…8feebacked Yes | 11c | 4,624$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 8c | 3,751$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 3c | 3,427$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…d191backed Yes | 13c | 2,901$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…0bf1backed Yes | 11c | 2,519$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…e082backed Yes | 10c | 2,433$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…2687backed Yes | 25c | 2,156$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29bbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,136$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 11c | 2,075$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…e2e0backed Yes | 12c | 1,983$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 13c | 1,915$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…2a28backed Yes | 10c | 1,913$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…6088backed Yes | 15c | 1,835$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,833$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 1,764$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…45f3backed Yes | 10c | 1,711$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 13c | 1,595$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b5…7543backed Yes | 17c | 1,528$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 11c | 1,497$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 18c | 1,469$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…489ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,452$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Yes | 12c | 1,337$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…9042backed Yes | 15c | 1,292$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6e…7de2backed Yes | 19c | 1,285$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0761…d1d6backed Yes | 14c | 1,256$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,162$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…bf77backed Yes | 14c | 1,136$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 1,125$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…b2eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,104$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 13c | 1,104$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,014$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…1f7ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes | 7c | 879.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…9b43backed Yes | 16c | 837.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 12c | 831$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…9b88backed Yes | 12c | 802.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 13c | 772.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 16c | 744.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…1cf6backed Yes | 11c | 722.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Yes | 14c | 711.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 703.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…219fbacked Yes | 16c | 686.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 21c | 672.53$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 668.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0230…0f71backed Yes | 14c | 656.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…5650backed Yes | 11c | 654.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…623bbacked Yes | 15c | 654.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…c765backed Yes | 16c | 625.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 620.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Yes | 17c | 600$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…deeebacked Yes | 16c | 598$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 17c | 550.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…f919backed Yes | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…7abcbacked Yes | 18c | 524.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…06bbbacked Yes | 9c | 523$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Yes | 18c | 500.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…1d83backed Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 10c | 499.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 17c | 484$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…c1b6backed Yes | 13c | 434.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 15c | 430$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…d679backed Yes | 10c | 419.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9638…e185backed Yes | 9c | 417.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…dd58backed Yes | 8c | 380$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…a66bbacked Yes | 10c | 370.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…cf56backed Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 12c | 347$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed Yes | 17c | 338.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…705ebacked Yes | 10c | 325$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Yes | 12c | 321.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…e94abacked Yes | 12c | 320$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…8c24backed Yes | 14c | 309.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…bf25backed Yes | 10c | 308.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Yes | 11c | 301.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…50f3backed Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed Yes | 17c | 299$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 13c | 293$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…5d64backed Yes | 10c | 275$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ca…468abacked Yes | 15c | 265.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed Yes | 13c | 258$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 251.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…a4aabacked Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…c5f0backed Yes | 24c | 249.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 14c | 246.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…1196backed Yes | 21c | 239.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…0719backed Yes | 19c | 236.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 9c | 230$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 229.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76cd…446abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09d…05ccbacked Yes | 16c | 221.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…2b19backed Yes | 11c | 214.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…df78backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?this page
- Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes won
- Will Wesley So win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.