TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x671a…ee5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+147.3%+$303.16
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.4
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$409.5
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$95.2
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$113.12
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$98.47
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$71.01
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$402.42
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$97.47
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80.64
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$166.92
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$247.59
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$248.82
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$161.92
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$52.29
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+34.9%+$166.5
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.24
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$57.12
Will "The Grinch" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$244.59
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$106.05
Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15.18
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.45
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$291.79
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+304%+$838.25
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.2
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$488.56
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.58
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+186.4%+$540.87
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$383.76
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.17
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.98
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$198.45
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.06
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$121.22
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$180.96
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.33
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$131.84
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$109.48
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66.44
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$118.91
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$137.94
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$103.44
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.32
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.63
Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$289.44
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.67
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$110.67
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$70.18
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$87.75
Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$156.31
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$61.82
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$148.12
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$145.25
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$27.9
Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$105.6
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$290.38
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$249.84
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+290.5%+$220.19
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.44
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$432.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$107.74
Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$133.4
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$636.38
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33.32
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+57.1%+$534.18
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$187.53
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+52.8%+$153.5
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$83.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100.37
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+191.2%+$166.76
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$505.27
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$29.12
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$95.25
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$149.67
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+376.2%+$492.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$273.81
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.12
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$181.35
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$288.85
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$149.4
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+72.7%+$40.84
Will Baluta win by 0-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$30.36
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$67.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+101.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+114.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.16
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$923.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+149.3%+$739.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$77.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$116.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Trump Family" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$69.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$246.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.