Music · resolved market
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fc449509ef1c6e4e3df0d17d127627fa4fe660fb8e8cc21e4730346f536299f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 20c | 13,258$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…e3bdbacked Yes | 23c | 13,050$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…328dbacked Yes | 22c | 12,980$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…9752backed Yes | 22c | 12,850$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…5098backed Yes | 23c | 12,100$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5d89backed Yes | 22c | 10,850$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…30c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,278$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…e8a4backed Yes | 24c | 8,950$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…78a6backed Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 12c | 4,972$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…5e48backed No | 78c | 3,800$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…5a6bbacked No | 78c | 3,710$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,650$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.57 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…b9a6backed No | 78c | 3,550$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…7f01backed No | 78c | 3,500$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7143…dff7backed No | 78c | 3,450$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb794…3befbacked No | 78c | 3,450$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…d9d4backed No | 78c | 3,370$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…0ca3backed No | 77c | 3,320$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…5831backed No | 78c | 3,320$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…c306backed No | 77c | 3,300$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…2ba8backed No | 77c | 3,300$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…50a5backed No | 78c | 3,280$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…9d18backed No | 78c | 3,267$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb3…1ddabacked No | 77c | 3,250$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…b364backed No | 76c | 3,230$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 20c | 3,223$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.88 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…e546backed No | 78c | 3,063$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…4123backed No | 77c | 3,050$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e6…63febacked No | 76c | 3,050$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9f…553abacked No | 78c | 3,020$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 15c | 2,937$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.81 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e23…1d79backed No | 77c | 2,830$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…8955backed No | 78c | 2,800$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7c…e9dcbacked No | 76c | 2,670$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5723…a47dbacked No | 77c | 2,650$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956d…7999backed No | 78c | 2,550$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 23c | 2,319$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…a03abacked Yes | 21c | 1,622$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…b18bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,462$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,460$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.97 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 75c | 1,379$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…11b5backed Yes | 15c | 1,359$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 10c | 1,324$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 16c | 1,252$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,184$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0ec1backed Yes | 25c | 1,163$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…0777backed No | 80c | 1,071$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d1…58a1backed Yes | 8c | 1,024$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed Yes | 25c | 999$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 25c | 951$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1778…a03dbacked Yes | 17c | 947.16$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed No | 75c | 935$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 20c | 926$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 913.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…315cbacked No | 79c | 910$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed No | 75c | 909$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 25c | 842$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…982fbacked No | 77c | 830$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 20c | 826.42$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked Yes | 20c | 807$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed No | 75c | 807$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…df9abacked Yes | 23c | 800$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 15c | 791.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 27c | 741.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 9c | 724.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 684$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…74e6backed Yes | 8c | 628.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Yes | 22c | 618.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 10c | 609$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 75c | 608$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…b217backed No | 75c | 573$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…9162backed Yes | 24c | 535$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…6e59backed Yes | 24c | 531$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 9c | 528.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e2…bb8dbacked Yes | 10c | 527.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…87acbacked Yes | 23c | 520$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes | 23c | 505.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 19c | 496.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Yes | 14c | 494$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed No | 75c | 481$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked Yes | 25c | 481$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 75c | 479$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 25c | 479$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 25c | 472$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 14c | 467.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked Yes | 15c | 461.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 79c | 450.13$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Yes | 25c | 446$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 75c | 440$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 25c | 437$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked No | 75c | 426$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 422.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 21c | 421.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…e399backed Yes | 24c | 417.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed No | 75c | 416$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…05f6backed Yes | 20c | 409.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 26c | 399.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will Hurry Up Tomorrow (The Weeknd) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will MUTT (Leon Thomas) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will SWAG (Justin Bieber) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.