TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa667…84fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
255
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7541.3%31 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$8.99
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$69.54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,655.91
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,533.74
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$1,022.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$197.29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$861.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,275.41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$47.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$46.24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$196.12
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.69
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$304.95
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$110.9
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$86.63
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.47
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.25
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,815.7
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,684Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$987.08
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.11
Will King Charles say "Honor" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$194
Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+1,713.8%+$5,706.8
Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$58.88
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.18
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.2
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$405.77
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,671.4
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,524Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+119.2%+$1,816.99
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62.94
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+207.8%+$78.53
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.51
Will the Green Party win a seat in British Columbia ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$30.78
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$319.87
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$560
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38.63
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+140.8%+$383.52
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135.22
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+86.7%+$479.81
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.97
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$483.04
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.5
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.48
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.82
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$176.25
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$238
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.23
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$642.24
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,846Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$826.94
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June  27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$517.83
Another US military action against Iran by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.64
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$608.01
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+212.7%+$32.68
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.52
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+88.5%+$509.22
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.62
Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.97
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$296.69
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$131.38
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+334.8%+$42
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$206.71
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+233.3%+$350
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+54.2%+$225.01
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$300
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$429.98
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$88.61
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+44.9%+$310
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$346.66
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$464.94
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Brentford wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Manchester United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$144.96
Everton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$400
West Ham United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Leicester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Southampton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$392.07
Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.19
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+65.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,864.46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$880.03
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+378.1%+$699.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$80.08
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$25.06
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+525%+$108.65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,481.79
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.52
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$175.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$140.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+190.1%+$61.32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$47.63
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$854.22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,097.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$320.7
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.71
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$380.38
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$163.44
Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$999.99
Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30.57
Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,499.99
Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-70%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$605
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+37.4%+$272.01
Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.07
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.42
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$4,888.58
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,154.63
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,835.45
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$109.99
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$70.07
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$760
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$119.35
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$732.45
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+182.5%+$646.03
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$388.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.44
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.9
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.5%+$114.69
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$212.04
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$151.75
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+126.5%+$134.12
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$35.73
Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+214.8%+$22.52
Will Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) be nominated for Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+64.1%+$10.64
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.19
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,537Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.3%+$1,601.44
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$105.12
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+142.8%+$558.04
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.97
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$64.7
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$170.89
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 70-79 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2024, EDT+257.1%+$26.33
Will Elon tweet 60-69 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$106.58
Will Lando Norris win the British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+47%+$90.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Griff win the WSOP main event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.65
Will Niklas Astedt win the WSOP main event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2024, EDT+78.7%+$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Maduro out before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+28.8%+$24.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$34.18
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jorge Masvidal vs. Nate Diazbacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+244.8%+$71.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+196%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+196%+$200.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,720.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.