NFL · resolved market
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x441e51dcff7c576a75d9a72d920b1e55e7173bcd9905dc499c5000fb39588b3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,889,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,869,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,889,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,060 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 1,812,421$6,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.52 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…aeabbacked Yes | 1c | 504,692$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 485,872$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 3c | 281,390$7,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,836.87 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 0c | 240,611$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 2c | 231,773$5,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330.78 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…1057backed Yes | 1c | 212,744$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 140,605$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 0c | 120,492$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…fac5backed Yes | 1c | 118,922$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cc…32ccbacked Yes | 1c | 118,847$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…8e45backed Yes | 1c | 118,723$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…5d0cbacked Yes | 1c | 118,316$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4a…3e23backed Yes | 1c | 117,466$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…102abacked Yes | 1c | 117,239$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1f…00cebacked Yes | 1c | 116,799$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7520…9ffebacked Yes | 1c | 116,494$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…0067backed Yes | 1c | 116,447$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…932ebacked Yes | 1c | 116,431$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…2c42backed Yes | 1c | 115,322$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…b65fbacked Yes | 1c | 115,270$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1278…0d62backed Yes | 1c | 115,201$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0818…686bbacked Yes | 1c | 115,016$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a5…2fabbacked Yes | 1c | 114,235$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c55…4569backed Yes | 1c | 114,149$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…2c0ebacked Yes | 1c | 113,547$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4b…10cbbacked Yes | 1c | 113,474$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…f10abacked Yes | 1c | 113,076$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 3c | 112,068$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…de4abacked Yes | 1c | 111,964$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fb…2989backed Yes | 1c | 111,950$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…1347backed Yes | 1c | 111,538$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…7638backed Yes | 1c | 111,482$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…6091backed Yes | 1c | 111,388$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e5a3backed Yes | 1c | 111,372$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…e5dabacked Yes | 1c | 110,476$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…64f5backed Yes | 1c | 110,292$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…93b1backed Yes | 1c | 109,220$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…f9dabacked Yes | 1c | 108,717$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…5542backed Yes | 1c | 108,671$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…5d2cbacked Yes | 1c | 108,242$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5d…ee86backed Yes | 1c | 107,924$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…36d9backed Yes | 1c | 107,587$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…2a04backed Yes | 1c | 106,977$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 1c | 105,444$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…c3c0backed Yes | 1c | 103,220$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…bd28backed Yes | 1c | 103,013$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…ebcbbacked Yes | 1c | 102,698$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…2fe8backed Yes | 1c | 102,028$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456d…1645backed Yes | 1c | 101,320$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…a239backed Yes | 1c | 101,134$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…07dabacked Yes | 1c | 100,181$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…f7cbbacked Yes | 1c | 99,999$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 99,998$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe035…2140backed Yes | 1c | 99,823$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae8…606abacked Yes | 1c | 99,687$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcd…aae2backed Yes | 1c | 99,658$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…9f65backed Yes | 1c | 99,494$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…125abacked Yes | 1c | 99,152$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb607…f333backed Yes | 1c | 98,911$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d28…ae5bbacked Yes | 1c | 98,773$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…fb3dbacked Yes | 1c | 98,752$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ead…caa3backed Yes | 1c | 98,331$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 1c | 98,287$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.96 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1023…0b94backed Yes | 1c | 97,581$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…0500backed Yes | 1c | 97,436$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…3a34backed Yes | 1c | 97,422$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…b74bbacked Yes | 1c | 97,365$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1e…0b02backed Yes | 1c | 97,231$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…36c5backed Yes | 1c | 97,170$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…d232backed Yes | 1c | 97,166$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 1c | 96,886$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.5 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…1b8cbacked Yes | 1c | 96,686$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…18c5backed Yes | 1c | 96,454$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64bf…6bc8backed Yes | 1c | 96,404$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…d083backed Yes | 1c | 96,165$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3076…b18bbacked Yes | 1c | 96,033$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd847…c950backed Yes | 1c | 95,839$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…1c93backed Yes | 1c | 95,828$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…de7dbacked Yes | 1c | 95,634$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…0015backed Yes | 1c | 95,384$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…d37abacked Yes | 1c | 94,860$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…6332backed Yes | 1c | 94,724$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…7ebcbacked Yes | 1c | 93,849$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…e48abacked Yes | 1c | 93,403$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a62…95acbacked Yes | 1c | 91,505$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b3…7289backed Yes | 1c | 91,261$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Yes | 1c | 90,899$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…61f2backed Yes | 1c | 90,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…eaabbacked Yes | 1c | 87,947$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcc…3ce1backed Yes | 1c | 85,595$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…fc10backed Yes | 1c | 85,276$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c6…aa24backed Yes | 1c | 84,759$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 83,786$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.9 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…cd33backed Yes | 1c | 83,772$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccf…003ebacked Yes | 1c | 83,747$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…f95cbacked Yes | 1c | 83,731$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…91a6backed Yes | 1c | 83,423$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…9930backed Yes | 1c | 83,203$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a4…cbb4backed Yes | 1c | 83,140$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.