NFL · resolved market
Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x729a3298ae0559a4eebd1320216c8c9b8d51381ce5ce690da7e8df1f951a923a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,228,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,764,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,228,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc63d…d3d9backed Yes | 0c | 2,492,366$9,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,969.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5da…c494backed Yes | 0c | 2,492,366$9,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,969.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…8ae0backed Yes | 0c | 1,768,330$7,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,073.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…bc2cbacked Yes | 0c | 1,768,329$7,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,073.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…77b0backed Yes | 0c | 1,739,988$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0d…f561backed Yes | 0c | 1,710,988$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,843.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7ae2backed Yes | 0c | 1,651,202$6,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…22f4backed Yes | 0c | 1,651,202$6,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…6ab9backed Yes | 0c | 1,441,900$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,767.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd3…b500backed Yes | 0c | 1,413,062$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…6292backed Yes | 0c | 1,355,850$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…b9bdbacked Yes | 0c | 1,327,008$5,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,308.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…ae9abacked Yes | 0c | 1,257,124$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…1ef9backed Yes | 0c | 1,228,553$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…4a38backed Yes | 0c | 1,222,494$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…4903backed Yes | 0c | 1,222,494$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6346…a2ccbacked Yes | 0c | 1,192,895$4,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…e0a7backed Yes | 0c | 1,192,895$4,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b1…4b41backed Yes | 0c | 971,822$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…2ec4backed Yes | 0c | 971,822$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…17c0backed Yes | 0c | 893,792$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef0…71a6backed Yes | 0c | 864,960$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…f984backed Yes | 0c | 745,990$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…872dbacked Yes | 0c | 745,956$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…e384backed Yes | 0c | 546,043$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 1c | 519,084$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.74 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…f9bbbacked Yes | 0c | 517,356$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 1c | 350,196$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.98 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 328,163$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.19 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 144,962$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.15 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…7864backed Yes | 0c | 115,176$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…9803backed Yes | 0c | 90,558$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…dea5backed Yes | 0c | 86,382$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 1c | 55,075$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…67d1backed Yes | 2c | 54,906$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…1854backed Yes | 1c | 52,122$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0821…005ebacked Yes | 1c | 52,074$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d68…b89dbacked Yes | 1c | 52,023$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…a155backed Yes | 1c | 51,795$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…7bbbbacked Yes | 1c | 51,734$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…4127backed Yes | 1c | 51,734$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…d86cbacked Yes | 1c | 50,975$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…be6dbacked Yes | 1c | 50,974$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 44,623$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 43,890$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.45 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 1c | 43,254$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.86 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 0c | 37,768$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 2c | 37,674$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.73 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 1c | 36,579$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.06 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 27,600$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…8e9fbacked Yes | 1c | 27,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…265bbacked Yes | 1c | 26,192$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…c83cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,365$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…92c8backed Yes | 1c | 25,365$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…1f38backed Yes | 1c | 24,187$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…dcdabacked Yes | 1c | 23,836$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e3…f0f3backed Yes | 1c | 22,699$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…4427backed Yes | 1c | 22,570$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed Yes | 1c | 20,517$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…e8a3backed Yes | 1c | 19,800$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…b8afbacked Yes | 2c | 19,499$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…f9f3backed Yes | 1c | 18,900$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…bf5abacked Yes | 2c | 18,344$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…791bbacked Yes | 1c | 17,682$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…7fe4backed Yes | 1c | 17,122$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…1f19backed Yes | 1c | 16,622$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…c1b0backed Yes | 1c | 16,518$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…96b1backed Yes | 1c | 16,375$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…db5abacked Yes | 1c | 16,131$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbf…2a2cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,049$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…b3a0backed Yes | 1c | 16,036$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f92…f295backed Yes | 1c | 15,961$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…0cb4backed Yes | 1c | 15,956$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…54fcbacked Yes | 1c | 15,940$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…3e5fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,864$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de8…f535backed Yes | 1c | 15,839$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…f082backed Yes | 1c | 15,800$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…6676backed Yes | 1c | 15,800$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe778…1ce6backed Yes | 1c | 15,786$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b1…4638backed Yes | 1c | 15,774$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…8eeebacked Yes | 1c | 15,730$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…9af3backed Yes | 1c | 15,607$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…30bebacked Yes | 1c | 15,505$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…9fd3backed Yes | 1c | 15,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb981…6509backed Yes | 1c | 15,420$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…6436backed Yes | 1c | 15,400$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…cdd9backed Yes | 1c | 15,400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…891abacked Yes | 1c | 15,284$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…553abacked Yes | 1c | 15,276$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 15,217$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…6929backed Yes | 1c | 15,207$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…e044backed Yes | 1c | 15,207$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…eb1fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,164$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…5286backed Yes | 1c | 15,111$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…6616backed Yes | 1c | 15,100$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…1d05backed Yes | 1c | 15,100$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.