NFL · resolved market
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80b4f6ca982ba1ff550316f725193f5f29761bf65770e37f11fa4b9736f1f7c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,528,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,727,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,528,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 991 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 8c | 508,300$38,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,960.71 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 2c | 429,780$6,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,976.54 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 2c | 429,152$6,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,492.63 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…9d4cbacked Yes | 1c | 317,028$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…e222backed Yes | 10c | 237,479$24,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,442.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 2c | 232,035$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.71 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 2c | 176,812$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.23 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 2c | 176,636$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.54 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…d05abacked Yes | 3c | 171,395$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 2c | 126,399$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.36 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 124,484$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.55 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Yes | 2c | 121,707$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.35 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 5c | 113,165$5,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,488.54 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 102,128$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.15 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc3…2f17backed Yes | 2c | 98,536$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.43 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…24e1backed Yes | 1c | 90,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 10c | 84,600$8,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,735.79 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 83,644$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.43 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 1c | 76,419$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.69 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes | 3c | 74,240$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 2c | 70,459$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.03 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f65…9524backed Yes | 3c | 66,951$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 8c | 64,911$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.27 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…d5ffbacked Yes | 1c | 61,526$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…3086backed Yes | 1c | 61,253$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…8b0abacked Yes | 1c | 61,211$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…e06bbacked Yes | 1c | 61,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a68…cff7backed Yes | 1c | 61,137$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…5f2abacked Yes | 1c | 61,070$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 1c | 61,029$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.66 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…2ddebacked Yes | 1c | 60,895$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c13…ac1fbacked Yes | 1c | 60,542$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…1d11backed Yes | 1c | 60,446$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbee…903bbacked Yes | 1c | 60,429$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…f926backed Yes | 1c | 60,363$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…a157backed Yes | 1c | 60,258$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…1c9bbacked Yes | 1c | 60,225$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…4b39backed Yes | 1c | 60,134$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…6820backed Yes | 1c | 60,122$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…291fbacked Yes | 1c | 60,089$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 2c | 60,000$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.41 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…94e8backed Yes | 1c | 59,860$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…e2fdbacked Yes | 1c | 59,748$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ea…cf0fbacked Yes | 1c | 59,698$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…518bbacked Yes | 1c | 59,609$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5b…ffb3backed Yes | 1c | 59,555$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…967bbacked Yes | 1c | 59,518$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…3e05backed Yes | 1c | 59,493$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…d37ebacked Yes | 1c | 59,469$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76c…d50dbacked Yes | 1c | 59,350$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…5d5abacked Yes | 1c | 59,081$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…de3cbacked Yes | 1c | 59,044$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…590ebacked Yes | 1c | 58,999$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…0289backed Yes | 1c | 58,971$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…7e41backed Yes | 1c | 58,960$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…5ae7backed Yes | 1c | 58,877$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…b1cbbacked Yes | 1c | 58,694$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…054cbacked Yes | 1c | 58,685$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba21…695abacked Yes | 1c | 58,489$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…dc43backed Yes | 1c | 58,476$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…e05ebacked Yes | 1c | 58,412$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…987bbacked Yes | 1c | 58,390$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…bb8abacked Yes | 1c | 58,349$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…e2b6backed Yes | 1c | 58,186$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacfd…f226backed Yes | 1c | 58,115$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…a9b8backed Yes | 1c | 57,731$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281e…ca4ebacked Yes | 1c | 57,699$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba1…c0cfbacked Yes | 1c | 57,656$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae14…5ddcbacked Yes | 1c | 57,177$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…0b68backed Yes | 1c | 56,853$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 10c | 56,766$5,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,827.19 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…e125backed Yes | 1c | 56,685$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6355…43b3backed Yes | 1c | 56,394$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcf…a1e7backed Yes | 1c | 56,216$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…73aebacked Yes | 1c | 56,046$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d5…43ecbacked Yes | 1c | 56,003$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0578…73fdbacked Yes | 11c | 56,000$5,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,936 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…c3b2backed Yes | 1c | 55,956$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e0…3542backed Yes | 1c | 55,691$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…7a54backed Yes | 1c | 55,242$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 11c | 54,256$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…45e2backed Yes | 1c | 52,414$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984a…7e1fbacked Yes | 1c | 52,278$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998e…73e0backed Yes | 1c | 52,220$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…d7b6backed Yes | 1c | 52,084$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…40e0backed Yes | 1c | 52,022$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…a7dbbacked Yes | 1c | 51,976$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…9167backed Yes | 1c | 51,709$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…59adbacked Yes | 1c | 51,695$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…f9c6backed Yes | 1c | 51,587$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…4d10backed Yes | 1c | 51,548$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…740abacked Yes | 1c | 51,429$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…6e1abacked Yes | 1c | 51,414$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…2d52backed Yes | 1c | 51,377$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf252…5e83backed Yes | 1c | 51,036$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9988…caa6backed Yes | 1c | 50,908$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…be1bbacked Yes | 1c | 50,886$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afa…14c0backed Yes | 1c | 50,870$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…db79backed Yes | 1c | 50,825$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…4889backed Yes | 1c | 50,813$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.