TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,275,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,225,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,275,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 900 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c2,400,655$7,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,201.96180%0 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c1,118,225$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.876541.5%27 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c1,112,664$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.911769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0abc…dda6backed Yes0c1,036,173$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,108.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc078…8361backed Yes0c718,885$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.6540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Yes0c688,869$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.343351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…3368backed Yes0c661,861$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.5850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x680e…9fdbbacked Yes0c640,386$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.1660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb6d…d811backed Yes0c636,858$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd87f…30b7backed Yes0c630,001$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfcb…b4f6backed Yes0c572,578$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.7360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520d…eaa6backed Yes0c548,617$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b38…8a6dbacked Yes0c541,028$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafb…d897backed Yes0c540,876$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d2c…a14fbacked Yes0c536,276$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.8350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee26…510fbacked Yes0c529,757$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c511,856$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.953930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb65…ec9abacked Yes0c510,647$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.9440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb723…eef6backed Yes0c499,421$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.2650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306e…e925backed Yes0c493,127$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.3860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaaa…e67cbacked Yes0c488,519$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2229…32d2backed Yes0c479,820$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.4630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0cb…378abacked Yes0c478,109$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41fe…d0d3backed Yes0c448,167$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…eff5backed Yes0c445,284$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c60…9a2abacked Yes0c443,417$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.2560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1d…2d6fbacked Yes0c405,681$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcb…bcb9backed Yes0c386,484$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e8…a597backed Yes0c357,952$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.2630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee1…398abacked Yes0c350,548$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c350,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a3…b63cbacked Yes0c348,912$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.7460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…0ab3backed Yes0c330,865$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ce…5d60backed Yes0c328,301$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0222…2307backed Yes0c321,127$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.3860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…9fbbbacked Yes0c310,660$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…5a27backed Yes0c285,384$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.1560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd889…7ddbbacked Yes0c282,097$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.2950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd84…8b10backed Yes0c276,139$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b40…01e7backed Yes0c266,459$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.3860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4a…b3eebacked Yes0c265,727$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.1850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c258,242$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.73170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa636…2aeebacked Yes0c248,908$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db3…564ebacked Yes0c248,908$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd4…0957backed Yes0c248,352$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.0660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b6…2adabacked Yes0c244,929$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.7950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde33…75cbbacked Yes0c232,350$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c220,432$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.441061.9%2 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick1cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1880…5f26backed Yes0c219,316$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.95825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-55.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb6…1b65backed Yes0c209,449$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b15…822cbacked Yes0c207,228$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.6850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa587…d91abacked Yes0c200,505$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.5250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda7f…3495backed Yes0c200,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b70…70c8backed Yes0c194,805$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c0a…53c9backed Yes0c181,108$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.331435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abd…7525backed Yes0c175,312$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.9450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…4e25backed Yes0c174,233$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7238…1ffbbacked Yes0c171,934$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482f…6cefbacked Yes0c170,083$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-81.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b9…24e1backed Yes1c170,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301010%1 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick2cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9250…46ebbacked Yes0c168,907$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.7260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7997…15d2backed Yes0c166,283$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc64…25c5backed Yes0c164,383$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…c7a7backed Yes0c164,000$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9454…4114backed Yes0c159,658$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eaf…2155backed Yes1c155,094$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.2840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb2…8f6dbacked Yes0c154,621$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.86633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c153,634$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.022430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e2c…1733backed Yes0c150,313$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…e52fbacked Yes0c146,492$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6676…5f4abacked Yes0c145,312$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.9450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f5…cd10backed Yes0c135,697$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829f…fb3bbacked Yes0c133,970$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f1…7475backed Yes0c133,809$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe455…2732backed Yes0c133,773$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1e…7d65backed Yes0c133,445$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc997…a138backed Yes0c133,389$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee21…9f82backed Yes0c133,311$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.93922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-64.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b0…a4d8backed Yes0c133,268$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd954…0b97backed Yes0c128,450$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6181…2f94backed Yes0c127,716$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…c87ebacked Yes0c124,657$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.97633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe822…84bdbacked Yes0c122,183$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51c1…86a2backed Yes0c121,678$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.031127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f0…c92bbacked Yes0c121,624$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.87728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c09…65f5backed Yes0c121,185$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c120,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360342.9%1 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-78.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab4…bb39backed Yes0c117,117$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d5…9f5abacked Yes0c116,839$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.52742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcca1…4d8ebacked Yes0c115,275$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…96bcbacked Yes0c112,886$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc46…e471backed Yes0c108,507$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c106,655$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.27130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205c…1470backed Yes1c106,342$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1149…f13bbacked Yes0c105,767$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa756…c2edbacked Yes0c104,984$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2512…1d0dbacked Yes0c104,030$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.09520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-72.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964b…9317backed Yes0c97,382$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeace…b4d1backed Yes0c93,732$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…35b5backed Yes0c92,994$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.