NFL · resolved market
Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bc9ab2b40953e2baf98609e054d089e87937b78a3c8a634cc1fc50c392166a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,428,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,643,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,428,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 490,140$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.77 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…f343backed Yes | 7c | 341,422$24,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,813.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 262,041$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.16 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 230,095$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.48 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 124,843$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.34 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 0c | 82,250$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.37 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 1c | 62,017$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.75 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6920…9d9bbacked Yes | 4c | 60,167$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 5c | 58,735$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.54 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 5c | 54,969$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…fa3dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…740cbacked Yes | 0c | 47,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a82…236fbacked Yes | 5c | 40,664$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…2f16backed Yes | 3c | 37,248$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 30,127$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.62 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4056…63c4backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…4a26backed Yes | 1c | 29,405$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 28,351$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…a5c4backed Yes | 4c | 20,930$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…3005backed Yes | 5c | 20,432$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…0510backed Yes | 5c | 20,432$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…466abacked Yes | 5c | 20,432$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b7d4backed Yes | 5c | 20,232$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 2c | 20,007$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ba…0ea6backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2d…c848backed Yes | 4c | 18,605$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 4c | 15,989$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.02 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 15,039$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 1c | 14,209$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 4c | 14,117$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.54 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…0718backed Yes | 4c | 11,603$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abd…e1cebacked Yes | 5c | 10,216$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d55…974fbacked Yes | 5c | 10,057$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…059ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,056$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 1c | 8,663$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 5c | 6,922$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.57 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…94a0backed Yes | 1c | 6,753$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 5c | 6,320$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.15 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…6367backed Yes | 1c | 6,084$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…c46fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,803$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…fd65backed Yes | 5c | 5,590$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.82 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…4b21backed Yes | 4c | 5,581$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 4c | 5,181$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…eb45backed Yes | 6c | 5,080$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…f0d5backed Yes | 1c | 4,943$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…d4c2backed No | 3c | 4,705$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,545.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +2,841.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…fab3backed Yes | 6c | 4,623$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 5c | 4,550$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.3 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…3dcdbacked Yes | 5c | 4,500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6667…772dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…45d7backed Yes | 1c | 4,406$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 2c | 4,358$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 2c | 4,210$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 5c | 4,108$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…df23backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…56d6backed Yes | 1c | 3,942$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…5495backed Yes | 1c | 3,942$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 3,927$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…c168backed Yes | 1c | 3,610$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb7…f16ebacked No | 3c | 3,529$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +2,841.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…39b9backed Yes | 4c | 3,500$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2056…dde3backed Yes | 1c | 3,280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…ab69backed Yes | 4c | 3,256$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…15a2backed Yes | 5c | 3,240$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,185$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…682fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 1c | 2,907$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…6f32backed Yes | 5c | 2,862$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…75a7backed Yes | 1c | 2,608$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x020a…4313backed Yes | 5c | 2,546$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…304bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,513$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c2…cd0bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,387$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 4c | 2,326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…3129backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fc…8a11backed Yes | 5c | 2,076$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 5c | 2,030$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…cf20backed Yes | 1c | 1,973$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…c73dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,868$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Yes | 1c | 1,809$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…ed42backed Yes | 6c | 1,791$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…7c83backed Yes | 1c | 1,783$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…c167backed Yes | 4c | 1,739$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,343$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Yes | 5c | 1,315$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…6a63backed Yes | 4c | 1,184$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…0947backed Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,122$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…f6ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,072$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…4e37backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…a4fabacked Yes | 5c | 1,058$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d4…a96bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,026$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…e7d8backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.