NFL · resolved market
Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2850d5a4e221848fb7fe1b0d09259a516653bf5f59de50ad76520e9a70d56da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,542,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,866,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,542,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 2c | 290,541$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.86 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…57f6backed Yes | 3c | 268,867$7,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,246.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 2c | 168,048$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.37 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 1c | 156,003$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.67 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 2c | 127,936$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.28 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…dc92backed Yes | 2c | 101,771$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 2c | 76,497$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 1c | 70,204$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.92 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 68,472$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.13 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622c…c68fbacked Yes | 2c | 68,048$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 1c | 65,850$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.03 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 65,781$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.75 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 63,494$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.29 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…18a3backed Yes | 2c | 56,434$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6184…0c7fbacked Yes | 1c | 53,879$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…300fbacked Yes | 1c | 53,879$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 1c | 53,735$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.07 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 1c | 51,120$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.38 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 2c | 50,550$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.42 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…8078backed Yes | 1c | 50,038$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.54 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 2c | 49,181$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.69 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…35d1backed Yes | 1c | 48,209$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…5010backed Yes | 1c | 48,209$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…de41backed Yes | 1c | 48,209$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…d6d2backed Yes | 1c | 47,268$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…cb0bbacked Yes | 1c | 47,268$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Yes | 2c | 46,564$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.51 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 2c | 38,398$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.78 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 2c | 36,442$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.26 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Yes | 2c | 35,260$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.94 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 2c | 34,818$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.62 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 32,144$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.34 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…5be9backed Yes | 2c | 30,024$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 1c | 26,682$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.21 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 1c | 26,518$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 2c | 25,130$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.68 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 1c | 23,708$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.18 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…dad8backed Yes | 1c | 21,388$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 1c | 21,083$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 1c | 20,299$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 2c | 20,030$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…4a26backed Yes | 1c | 19,510$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 2c | 19,396$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.07 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 19,222$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 19,038$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 1c | 17,834$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 2c | 17,188$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 17,131$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 15,640$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,112$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.13 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 1c | 14,850$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,566$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 2c | 14,393$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +294.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 1c | 14,003$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 2c | 13,908$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.02 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,832$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…8556backed Yes | 1c | 13,582$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Yes | 1c | 13,193$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 11,968$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…a22abacked Yes | 1c | 11,752$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes | 1c | 10,799$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 2c | 10,692$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 2c | 10,533$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 10,350$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…9ac7backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Yes | 1c | 9,916$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 9,696$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 1c | 9,051$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 8,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…0bc3backed Yes | 3c | 8,321$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 8,193$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…3309backed Yes | 1c | 8,038$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…7b16backed Yes | 1c | 7,566$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 1c | 7,057$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…b9f1backed Yes | 1c | 6,780$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…e93abacked Yes | 2c | 6,188$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…e235backed Yes | 1c | 5,987$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…b98abacked Yes | 1c | 5,987$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…cc27backed Yes | 3c | 5,712$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 5,661$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…cacfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 2c | 5,502$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 5,473$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 1c | 5,465$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…d21cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,318$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…2b03backed Yes | 2c | 5,318$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc193…365fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,308$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Yes | 1c | 5,091$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf589…5ba2backed Yes | 1c | 5,078$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c85…80c2backed Yes | 1c | 5,037$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…0445backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…89cfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.