NFL · resolved market
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59c211bdc7743b11eefa59e0d87802445980cf27e63dbdad2f6668ea0f139fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,969,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,072,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,969,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,480,854$9,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,747.09 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…a7e4backed Yes | 0c | 2,049,438$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc58…71acbacked Yes | 0c | 2,049,438$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…ef16backed Yes | 0c | 1,901,916$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…41c6backed Yes | 0c | 1,901,916$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…9fdbbacked Yes | 0c | 1,612,708$4,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…56b6backed Yes | 0c | 1,502,721$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…de34backed Yes | 0c | 1,502,692$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…6e91backed Yes | 0c | 1,500,045$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…981bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,482,015$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…5e49backed Yes | 0c | 1,481,172$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…200bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,481,061$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…a4d8backed Yes | 0c | 1,433,600$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…f03bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,425,130$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…0210backed Yes | 0c | 1,371,529$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,114.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…ea4dbacked Yes | 0c | 1,356,298$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…eb06backed Yes | 0c | 1,318,662$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e74…22b1backed Yes | 0c | 1,299,976$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…3966backed Yes | 0c | 1,299,954$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0abe…6127backed Yes | 0c | 1,299,257$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…4959backed Yes | 0c | 1,299,229$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Yes | 0c | 1,289,641$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 1,251,193$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.37 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…6144backed Yes | 0c | 1,240,296$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…0695backed Yes | 0c | 1,232,234$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…1075backed Yes | 0c | 1,212,670$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…3687backed Yes | 0c | 1,199,480$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…32d2backed Yes | 0c | 1,197,999$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e5…d55bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,153,295$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 1,142,518$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.67 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb8…0ba5backed Yes | 0c | 1,107,621$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc078…8361backed Yes | 0c | 1,071,830$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…b4f6backed Yes | 0c | 980,217$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…dc09backed Yes | 0c | 918,474$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c9…fb20backed Yes | 0c | 864,814$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…ece8backed Yes | 0c | 833,461$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…e896backed Yes | 0c | 814,636$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…1117backed Yes | 0c | 682,261$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…1ffbbacked Yes | 0c | 577,120$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…53c9backed Yes | 0c | 545,741$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…0957backed Yes | 0c | 539,523$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…5f26backed Yes | 0c | 517,986$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…7ddbbacked Yes | 0c | 514,832$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0222…2307backed Yes | 0c | 511,602$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 510,944$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.02 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 0c | 483,460$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.8 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 444,502$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.51 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b40…01e7backed Yes | 0c | 442,757$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…c2f2backed Yes | 0c | 430,683$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…d7f4backed Yes | 0c | 425,511$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb65…ec9abacked Yes | 0c | 415,740$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…554bbacked Yes | 0c | 409,309$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…b9b3backed Yes | 0c | 336,949$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…02b3backed Yes | 0c | 333,331$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…b63cbacked Yes | 0c | 330,639$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…9a2abacked Yes | 0c | 253,858$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…c145backed Yes | 0c | 232,513$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…1617backed Yes | 0c | 232,498$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…1849backed Yes | 0c | 232,498$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcedf…ba7ebacked Yes | 0c | 232,498$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…915cbacked Yes | 0c | 232,363$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…d140backed Yes | 0c | 232,363$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18a…b244backed Yes | 0c | 232,358$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…e0b3backed Yes | 0c | 232,325$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…a14fbacked Yes | 0c | 226,145$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98c…1227backed Yes | 0c | 220,220$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…b716backed Yes | 0c | 220,220$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…5f4abacked Yes | 0c | 219,555$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…c69dbacked Yes | 0c | 219,044$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…1befbacked Yes | 0c | 219,044$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…bf1ebacked Yes | 0c | 218,947$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…2858backed Yes | 0c | 218,651$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…2605backed Yes | 0c | 218,475$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8210backed Yes | 0c | 218,446$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…34cfbacked Yes | 0c | 218,446$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…d173backed Yes | 0c | 218,405$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e8…8377backed Yes | 0c | 218,375$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ee…f1bebacked Yes | 0c | 217,897$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ac…d0bebacked Yes | 0c | 217,897$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacd…a4d5backed Yes | 0c | 217,892$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…3052backed Yes | 0c | 217,858$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…7139backed Yes | 0c | 217,852$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…f71bbacked Yes | 0c | 217,813$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f1…f8b1backed Yes | 0c | 217,813$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…afe8backed Yes | 0c | 217,813$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2231…8241backed Yes | 0c | 217,768$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…ac6fbacked Yes | 0c | 217,721$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…7d0ebacked Yes | 0c | 217,707$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…d03fbacked Yes | 0c | 217,684$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…7672backed Yes | 0c | 217,631$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…7674backed Yes | 0c | 217,606$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…d4f5backed Yes | 0c | 217,599$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…8bcabacked Yes | 0c | 217,489$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…fc32backed Yes | 0c | 215,387$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…feefbacked Yes | 0c | 215,387$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…51f7backed Yes | 0c | 215,371$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…5effbacked Yes | 0c | 215,341$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…c892backed Yes | 0c | 215,341$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ef…ba16backed Yes | 0c | 215,341$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…59c3backed Yes | 0c | 215,341$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.