NFL · resolved market
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e73cc6c999f4fc1e3692905fc99fe7eb98beb16a284c4be762e3e64c42d1544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,399,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,676,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,399,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 868 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 14c | 316,964$43,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,685.27 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 10c | 188,753$18,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,040.57 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 10c | 114,591$11,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,106.21 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes | 8c | 102,340$7,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,721.61 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 13c | 80,000$10,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,621.01 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 13c | 66,513$8,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,591.6 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 11c | 66,465$7,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,225.18 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba61…5b0abacked Yes | 12c | 65,503$7,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,846.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…ab05backed Yes | 17c | 60,000$10,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…1dd4backed Yes | 16c | 59,500$9,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,698.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…61c8backed Yes | 12c | 56,000$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c26…4f84backed Yes | 12c | 55,028$6,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,555.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 13c | 47,788$6,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,275.3 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 10c | 43,378$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.33 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475d…6250backed Yes | 12c | 38,967$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…096cbacked Yes | 12c | 38,809$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…7cbabacked Yes | 12c | 37,856$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…d6eabacked Yes | 12c | 37,122$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbd…21d7backed Yes | 12c | 36,121$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…fccdbacked Yes | 12c | 35,842$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f2…73b9backed Yes | 12c | 35,591$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…0084backed Yes | 12c | 34,943$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…230dbacked Yes | 12c | 32,442$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…65bbbacked Yes | 12c | 32,231$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…6e56backed Yes | 12c | 32,180$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ae3abacked Yes | 12c | 31,372$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…2739backed Yes | 6c | 29,637$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…35eabacked Yes | 12c | 29,443$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…80cabacked Yes | 12c | 29,072$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…dd2cbacked Yes | 6c | 27,761$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…71dabacked Yes | 12c | 26,241$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…11cdbacked Yes | 12c | 25,201$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 8c | 24,698$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.34 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…1494backed Yes | 12c | 22,280$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 12c | 20,353$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.69 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…2baebacked Yes | 0c | 20,097$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…b806backed Yes | 12c | 20,092$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc0…8c78backed Yes | 14c | 20,000$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…5e08backed Yes | 11c | 17,667$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 14c | 17,500$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.49 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 17,241$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.96 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4041backed Yes | 24c | 16,869$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 9c | 16,094$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.64 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 16c | 13,884$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.89 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…20a7backed Yes | 12c | 13,695$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…147dbacked Yes | 14c | 12,666$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.27 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 10c | 12,492$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.66 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…24e1backed Yes | 8c | 12,409$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 12c | 11,606$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.36 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 13c | 11,266$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.57 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 8c | 10,702$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.58 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 16c | 10,400$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.35 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 11c | 10,259$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.63 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…d00ebacked Yes | 12c | 10,241$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Yes | 12c | 10,144$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.12 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes | 7c | 10,036$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.28 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 14c | 9,931$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.36 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 8c | 9,803$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.8 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…1c9cbacked Yes | 14c | 9,571$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 8c | 9,512$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.8 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…0bc3backed Yes | 18c | 9,394$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 6c | 9,358$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.08 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 8c | 8,896$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.81 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…51bcbacked Yes | 12c | 8,870$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Yes | 8c | 8,450$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 11c | 8,379$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.63 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…8381backed Yes | 15c | 8,030$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 8c | 8,023$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.37 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 9c | 7,910$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.14 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 11c | 7,794$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.52 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Yes | 13c | 7,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…dfa3backed Yes | 16c | 7,449$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Yes | 8c | 7,181$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 15c | 7,156$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.97 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 12c | 6,848$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 7c | 6,730$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.65 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…8533backed Yes | 13c | 6,460$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 8c | 6,442$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.57 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Yes | 18c | 6,319$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…39b9backed Yes | 8c | 6,100$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…9e01backed Yes | 12c | 6,036$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 8c | 5,907$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 9c | 5,862$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.31 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 16c | 5,790$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.32 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 12c | 5,710$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.39 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…8775backed Yes | 11c | 5,565$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…698fbacked Yes | 13c | 5,500$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…eef4backed Yes | 11c | 4,904$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…3aeebacked Yes | 17c | 4,676$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed Yes | 8c | 4,654$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 14c | 4,600$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.2 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…a524backed Yes | 12c | 4,486$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 10c | 4,469$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.2 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 12c | 4,049$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.21 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 15c | 4,032$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.72 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f280backed Yes | 12c | 3,905$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…83cabacked Yes | 8c | 3,896$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 17c | 3,889$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.75 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.