NFL · resolved market
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb12fb23c56c8d690c51f6b2501c62fa0dcf25f8af04c0f92c68f94167a1f43b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,565,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,060,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,565,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 4c | 358,173$13,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,060.43 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 4c | 183,382$7,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,798.81 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 4c | 135,206$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.27 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 4c | 104,612$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.87 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 5c | 103,354$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096.49 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 3c | 84,221$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.35 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 6c | 80,000$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470.06 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 4c | 77,522$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.49 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 6c | 77,000$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.19 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…014bbacked Yes | 4c | 69,229$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 3c | 66,128$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.24 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a75…0783backed Yes | 4c | 52,000$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 3c | 43,413$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.69 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Yes | 4c | 39,119$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…eb45backed Yes | 5c | 33,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 3c | 33,131$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.96 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 3c | 31,569$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.19 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…c5d9backed Yes | 3c | 28,807$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.44 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…bdf7backed Yes | 4c | 27,973$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.88 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…786bbacked Yes | 5c | 22,451$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 6c | 22,000$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.41 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b78cbacked Yes | 5c | 19,149$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3aaabacked Yes | 4c | 18,182$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…0b0dbacked Yes | 3c | 17,857$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 3c | 16,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 3c | 16,456$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.29 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…5e08backed Yes | 6c | 16,218$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 3c | 15,000$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.36 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…f148backed Yes | 3c | 14,934$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…783cbacked Yes | 4c | 14,458$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 4c | 14,210$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.55 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 13,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.36 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 4c | 12,739$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.66 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 3c | 12,444$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.44 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 3c | 11,607$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.42 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd37…b3a7backed Yes | 5c | 11,224$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49a…6d64backed Yes | 3c | 10,455$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…5b57backed Yes | 5c | 10,417$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…2f42backed Yes | 4c | 10,227$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 4c | 10,088$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.63 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 9,901$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.3 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…39b9backed Yes | 4c | 9,700$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…d143backed Yes | 4c | 9,101$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…d053backed Yes | 4c | 9,091$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…2ed0backed Yes | 6c | 8,705$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 4c | 8,643$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.57 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…cc27backed Yes | 4c | 8,377$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 7,988$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 3c | 7,738$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.47 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…2121backed Yes | 3c | 7,540$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…b639backed Yes | 4c | 7,378$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 4c | 6,630$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.24 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…b96ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,332$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,327$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fce…ea0fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,965$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…704cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,772$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…fdaebacked Yes | 3c | 5,766$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…434ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,766$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 4c | 5,723$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,700$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…d5b8backed Yes | 4c | 5,652$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 4c | 5,577$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1b7bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…b1cabacked Yes | 3c | 5,500$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…4e7cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,481$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…22f4backed Yes | 5c | 5,435$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 5,131$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.83 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…c36ebacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…4a26backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…53bebacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5f…ad16backed Yes | 3c | 4,882$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…c6d3backed Yes | 4c | 4,748$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,698$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…6b19backed Yes | 3c | 4,224$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8514…2c81backed Yes | 3c | 4,106$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,043$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,971$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,855$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x774c…1b0ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,808$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…3ec8backed Yes | 5c | 3,742$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 4c | 3,660$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,610$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 3c | 3,586$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…817ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…3ed2backed Yes | 3c | 3,567$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…0bc3backed Yes | 2c | 3,565$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…bb74backed Yes | 4c | 3,563$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…399fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,545$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…dab7backed Yes | 3c | 3,528$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a9…888fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,515$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Yes | 6c | 3,514$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.79 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…f742backed Yes | 6c | 3,509$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc543…ed07backed Yes | 3c | 3,438$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…ef9fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,247$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…f07dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,032$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…24e1backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,987$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.