NFL · resolved market
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a8987859d0109cbd84d4ab1bdc7041233e7ce8810d52f148b078f9cf6fa73a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,773,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,982,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,773,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43fb…f428backed Yes | 1c | 2,031,523$10,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,157.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…83b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,002,910$10,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,014.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 1,182,200$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 1,154,601$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.92 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 599,295$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 1c | 344,025$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.27 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 2c | 330,476$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.65 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 330,153$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.17 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 1c | 268,402$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.41 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 1c | 267,399$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.41 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 0c | 209,998$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…3074backed Yes | 0c | 206,535$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…99e7backed Yes | 0c | 206,389$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 106,942$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 0c | 100,253$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 88,633$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…0a18backed Yes | 0c | 88,581$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…9c64backed Yes | 1c | 78,982$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…8556backed Yes | 0c | 78,453$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…43d0backed Yes | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…f996backed Yes | 0c | 65,500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 58,663$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…a9b2backed Yes | 0c | 57,976$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 57,057$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce3…ed11backed Yes | 1c | 56,877$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…6dd1backed Yes | 1c | 56,877$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…6cabbacked Yes | 1c | 56,877$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…c4bdbacked Yes | 1c | 56,877$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5510…f6e3backed Yes | 1c | 56,865$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…8b6cbacked Yes | 1c | 56,832$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 3c | 54,352$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.56 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…6ad8backed Yes | 1c | 52,511$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…2ad4backed Yes | 1c | 52,511$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…e56dbacked Yes | 1c | 52,511$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf551…7654backed Yes | 1c | 52,511$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b52…707dbacked Yes | 1c | 52,511$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…7240backed Yes | 1c | 52,466$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…cd89backed Yes | 1c | 52,466$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…32dcbacked Yes | 1c | 52,466$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9e…d4e7backed Yes | 1c | 52,466$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6c…66dcbacked Yes | 1c | 52,466$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…5010backed Yes | 1c | 52,466$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…795ebacked Yes | 1c | 52,460$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e1…21fcbacked Yes | 1c | 52,454$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…6e94backed Yes | 0c | 50,092$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ff…e302backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…3938backed Yes | 0c | 49,975$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 48,397$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301a…b6efbacked Yes | 1c | 48,101$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 46,820$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a9cfbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…3682backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 4c | 39,282$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 37,225$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…0993backed Yes | 0c | 34,667$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…02b3backed Yes | 1c | 33,333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…5479backed Yes | 1c | 31,894$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…08bdbacked Yes | 1c | 31,883$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…2174backed Yes | 1c | 31,538$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…800bbacked Yes | 1c | 31,406$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 3c | 29,207$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…491ebacked Yes | 0c | 28,988$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…7befbacked Yes | 0c | 28,901$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c83…9c9bbacked Yes | 3c | 24,043$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…4dbdbacked Yes | 0c | 23,953$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 3c | 23,500$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.82 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 0c | 23,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ca…95f8backed Yes | 0c | 20,869$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…42c5backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…845bbacked Yes | 3c | 20,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…1b5ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…71b2backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b55bbacked Yes | 3c | 20,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88dc…a110backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…e52bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,781$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…307bbacked Yes | 2c | 19,375$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6439…5c5dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,360$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…10c4backed Yes | 3c | 19,300$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…4584backed Yes | 0c | 17,663$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 0c | 17,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 0c | 17,059$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 2c | 17,025$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.14 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…6c81backed Yes | 0c | 16,750$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…bc0cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,040$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…1307backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 15,778$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 0c | 15,546$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 1c | 15,076$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…5c35backed Yes | 0c | 14,330$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421f…4afebacked Yes | 1c | 14,184$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40c…3ee3backed Yes | 4c | 13,746$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…d21cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,458$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 12,488$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.73 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3150…3af3backed Yes | 2c | 12,300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc960…595ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,532$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…aa14backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…0aedbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…db7ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.