NFL · resolved market
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dcaa5bd1b8842fb522b076001dcab4621e4146085a5cf2d4371fab60c3a014f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,857,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,515,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,857,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,106,462$8,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,756.75 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 2,628,621$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.55 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Yes | 0c | 2,388,946$6,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…41c6backed Yes | 0c | 1,960,346$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,881.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…ef16backed Yes | 0c | 1,666,406$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 1,257,095$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.52 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 1,159,746$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.34 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…6456backed Yes | 0c | 1,021,639$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…ee66backed Yes | 0c | 1,014,388$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…5f26backed Yes | 0c | 829,112$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 0c | 776,400$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.2 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…d7f4backed Yes | 0c | 603,770$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…4114backed Yes | 0c | 584,857$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…c2f2backed Yes | 0c | 552,806$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…554bbacked Yes | 0c | 552,785$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…1ffbbacked Yes | 0c | 539,436$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…0b97backed Yes | 0c | 464,001$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…6cefbacked Yes | 0c | 385,327$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…53c9backed Yes | 0c | 333,620$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 0c | 331,881$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.79 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…cfe0backed Yes | 0c | 302,973$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2780…ba98backed Yes | 0c | 302,947$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a8…2b7ebacked Yes | 0c | 302,943$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…89f1backed Yes | 0c | 302,943$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…cf4cbacked Yes | 0c | 302,937$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…66cdbacked Yes | 0c | 302,937$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…07fcbacked Yes | 0c | 302,871$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afa…fb71backed Yes | 0c | 302,841$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…0d1abacked Yes | 0c | 302,841$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…eba4backed Yes | 0c | 302,563$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…8998backed Yes | 0c | 302,512$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…f07dbacked Yes | 0c | 302,512$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…42afbacked Yes | 0c | 302,512$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebb…7ee7backed Yes | 0c | 302,512$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…abe9backed Yes | 0c | 302,456$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7be…0987backed Yes | 0c | 302,456$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…c246backed Yes | 0c | 302,456$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…463dbacked Yes | 0c | 302,161$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…556dbacked Yes | 0c | 302,099$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d1…70acbacked Yes | 0c | 302,008$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d1…ff78backed Yes | 0c | 301,947$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…b716backed Yes | 0c | 301,947$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…1bc5backed Yes | 0c | 301,947$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…8e31backed Yes | 0c | 301,947$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaac…cef8backed Yes | 0c | 301,947$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…40eabacked Yes | 0c | 301,947$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d9b6backed Yes | 0c | 301,922$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…a90abacked Yes | 0c | 301,270$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…062dbacked Yes | 0c | 299,793$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…8299backed Yes | 0c | 299,503$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074f…f222backed Yes | 0c | 299,491$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…5adcbacked Yes | 0c | 299,293$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…6a16backed Yes | 0c | 299,245$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…e9fcbacked Yes | 0c | 299,233$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…ddc8backed Yes | 0c | 299,233$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…bbedbacked Yes | 0c | 299,217$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf127…dbc0backed Yes | 0c | 299,217$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…18eebacked Yes | 0c | 299,217$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…30b4backed Yes | 0c | 299,090$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf81…48bebacked Yes | 0c | 298,322$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e6…de7cbacked Yes | 0c | 298,299$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…9fc4backed Yes | 0c | 298,213$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…440bbacked Yes | 0c | 298,171$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…36adbacked Yes | 0c | 298,134$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…9223backed Yes | 0c | 298,123$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…2165backed Yes | 0c | 298,123$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcea…4645backed Yes | 0c | 298,123$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…0218backed Yes | 0c | 297,817$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb513…c6a7backed Yes | 0c | 297,817$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…4b47backed Yes | 0c | 295,279$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…06fabacked Yes | 0c | 295,279$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…79b2backed Yes | 0c | 295,279$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…137bbacked Yes | 0c | 295,279$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…b18abacked Yes | 0c | 295,279$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…406bbacked Yes | 0c | 292,938$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | -51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf4…3258backed Yes | 0c | 292,497$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…5d61backed Yes | 0c | 292,465$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…fbf2backed Yes | 0c | 292,073$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…37fabacked Yes | 0c | 291,722$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f1…bcbbbacked Yes | 0c | 291,722$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4267backed Yes | 0c | 291,317$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…4a22backed Yes | 0c | 291,271$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…0957backed Yes | 0c | 290,784$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…4af1backed Yes | 0c | 289,491$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…a030backed Yes | 0c | 288,132$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaff…3f90backed Yes | 0c | 288,132$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e24…4bdbbacked Yes | 0c | 288,132$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c4…4594backed Yes | 0c | 288,132$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaa…c8bfbacked Yes | 0c | 285,698$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…7267backed Yes | 0c | 285,586$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…5ea8backed Yes | 0c | 285,586$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55de…2b4dbacked Yes | 0c | 283,865$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…2655backed Yes | 0c | 283,865$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec5…3621backed Yes | 0c | 283,865$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…1163backed Yes | 0c | 283,865$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…61b3backed Yes | 0c | 283,865$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbc…fa36backed Yes | 0c | 283,859$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…64b4backed Yes | 0c | 283,618$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…263cbacked Yes | 0c | 282,127$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d4…ed54backed Yes | 0c | 280,989$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.