NFL · resolved market
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb018023b67a978fa9a4d43a13f6f0a8e29b1516c36b4721b3983eafdc86b3bf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,314,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,741,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,314,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,398,547$9,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,095.65 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…6249backed Yes | 0c | 3,895,028$11,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,685.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…6e54backed Yes | 0c | 3,347,779$10,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,043.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b5…4f84backed Yes | 0c | 3,347,769$10,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,043.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd375…d575backed Yes | 0c | 3,213,513$9,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,640.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…2144backed Yes | 0c | 3,212,429$9,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,637.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…5a27backed Yes | 0c | 2,361,578$7,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,084.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1149…f13bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,250,676$6,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,752.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…eef6backed Yes | 0c | 2,237,169$6,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,711.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…f9d8backed Yes | 0c | 2,054,139$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…6ec2backed Yes | 0c | 2,054,139$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde33…75cbbacked Yes | 0c | 1,608,983$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 1,362,228$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.46 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 987,448$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.34 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…9fdbbacked Yes | 0c | 964,685$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…2c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 845,698$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…32d2backed Yes | 0c | 839,411$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Yes | 0c | 760,383$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.83 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…b4f6backed Yes | 0c | 751,368$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…936fbacked Yes | 0c | 739,986$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…564ebacked Yes | 0c | 739,735$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…3368backed Yes | 0c | 695,427$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…2aeebacked Yes | 0c | 678,180$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 648,510$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.45 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…9a2abacked Yes | 0c | 642,966$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…2adabacked Yes | 0c | 573,068$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc078…8361backed Yes | 0c | 569,268$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4a…b3eebacked Yes | 0c | 544,789$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…c2f2backed Yes | 0c | 528,153$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…554bbacked Yes | 0c | 526,974$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb65…ec9abacked Yes | 0c | 476,228$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…2400backed Yes | 0c | 460,838$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…3864backed Yes | 0c | 446,943$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…e742backed Yes | 2c | 432,862$9,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,944.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc033…d08cbacked Yes | 0c | 427,517$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…0957backed Yes | 0c | 409,466$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 409,269$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.81 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…33b4backed Yes | 0c | 405,748$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…0ab3backed Yes | 0c | 378,650$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…5f26backed Yes | 0c | 375,712$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…38f7backed Yes | 0c | 374,307$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…25c5backed Yes | 0c | 356,878$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e5…0126backed Yes | 0c | 356,656$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…1ffbbacked Yes | 0c | 347,550$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…066bbacked Yes | 0c | 339,432$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…5f4abacked Yes | 0c | 329,071$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…909fbacked Yes | 0c | 307,466$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…8effbacked Yes | 0c | 307,160$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…b63cbacked Yes | 0c | 296,798$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…a14fbacked Yes | 0c | 290,570$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 0c | 283,318$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ce…5d60backed Yes | 0c | 281,077$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…8e54backed Yes | 0c | 273,004$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4267backed Yes | 0c | 264,737$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…4a22backed Yes | 0c | 264,692$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaa…c8bfbacked Yes | 0c | 264,615$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…7267backed Yes | 0c | 264,614$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…5ea8backed Yes | 0c | 264,614$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…ac07backed Yes | 0c | 264,494$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…8057backed Yes | 0c | 264,447$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…59b3backed Yes | 0c | 264,447$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…fc32backed Yes | 0c | 264,148$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…feefbacked Yes | 0c | 264,148$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…51f7backed Yes | 0c | 264,102$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ef…ba16backed Yes | 0c | 264,052$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…5effbacked Yes | 0c | 263,487$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…c892backed Yes | 0c | 263,487$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…59c3backed Yes | 0c | 263,487$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…21adbacked Yes | 0c | 263,487$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 249,999$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…7ddbbacked Yes | 0c | 248,544$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0222…2307backed Yes | 0c | 241,994$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 240,874$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.62 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…e896backed Yes | 0c | 237,912$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…53c9backed Yes | 0c | 235,052$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…be09backed Yes | 0c | 229,505$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…37fabacked Yes | 0c | 219,476$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f1…bcbbbacked Yes | 0c | 219,476$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e3…1839backed Yes | 0c | 215,256$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…4114backed Yes | 0c | 215,056$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…0b97backed Yes | 0c | 206,107$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 199,999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…bbedbacked Yes | 0c | 193,277$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf127…dbc0backed Yes | 0c | 193,277$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…18eebacked Yes | 0c | 193,277$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…062dbacked Yes | 0c | 192,707$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…8299backed Yes | 0c | 192,707$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf81…48bebacked Yes | 0c | 192,240$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…30b4backed Yes | 0c | 192,240$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…440bbacked Yes | 0c | 192,137$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…5d61backed Yes | 0c | 192,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…0218backed Yes | 0c | 192,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb513…c6a7backed Yes | 0c | 192,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf4…3258backed Yes | 0c | 192,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…9223backed Yes | 0c | 192,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…2165backed Yes | 0c | 192,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcea…4645backed Yes | 0c | 192,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…36adbacked Yes | 0c | 192,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…fbf2backed Yes | 0c | 191,478$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.