TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,829,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,665,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,829,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4222…bcd3backed No54c1,317,627$713,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713,264.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes36c911,455$326,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584,501.22711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes47c400,745$190,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210,588.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a7…e661backed Yes7c317,365$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295,364.653522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fad…1d0abacked Yes12c253,709$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223,709.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+322.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…12f6backed Yes48c234,548$113,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,480.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes12c210,454$25,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184,761.177857.7%45 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes8c138,989$11,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,315.279724.7%24 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes47c138,432$64,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,540.1217454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e817backed Yes12c131,008$15,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,598.27540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+134.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Yes18c130,163$22,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,303.1516645.8%76 W · 90 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x890f…19cbbacked Yes13c109,531$13,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,651.481233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed No52c97,710$50,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,906.784134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes12c85,999$9,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,067.528536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes9c80,000$7,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,881.530446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes28c72,740$20,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,728.674546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes47c72,476$34,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,071.654628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes10c60,951$5,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,114.0815722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes16c59,966$9,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,613.923818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b1…9ebdbacked Yes43c59,518$25,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,990.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0513…ee13backed Yes16c59,000$9,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,6781100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+532.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa26e…101bbacked Yes14c58,500$8,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,017.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+589.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Yes47c53,674$25,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,237.115356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes72c51,312$36,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,344.6114926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes48c48,093$23,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,961.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No52c46,985$24,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,581.571769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c60…c7e1backed Yes6c44,772$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,996.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,512.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c71…b8bdbacked Yes6c44,623$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,856.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,512.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b7…eb22backed No67c43,826$29,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,243.57540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes13c39,790$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,609.365724.6%14 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Yes46c39,272$18,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,057.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes12c35,769$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,631.91809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7167…4a56backed No58c34,250$20,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,001.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x02f5…18a3backed Yes7c33,619$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,345.961030%3 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick16cpaid+134%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a6…1b64backed No20c31,492$6,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,287.06922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc07…5e08backed Yes12c30,519$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,719.3911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes24c29,889$7,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,773.0116226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8b3…e480backed Yes6c29,848$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,982.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+542.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6d0…ac9abacked Yes6c29,848$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,997.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,512.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe843…fd82backed Yes6c29,749$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,904.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+706.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1a…c653backed Yes7c29,374$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,373.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,368.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa049…0558backed Yes8c28,838$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,657.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.28per pick27cpaid+171%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe058…0bc3backed Yes14c28,399$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,518.971216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9d…79eabacked Yes47c28,160$13,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,834.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes13c26,316$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,879.2718435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f62…eb45backed Yes6c23,748$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,375.45616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+188.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Yes13c23,598$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,498.0914763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fe…41d1backed Yes13c22,873$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,004.76633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Yes15c21,924$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,620.7814445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd56d…de17backed Yes33c21,912$7,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,623.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes27c21,574$5,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,855.0122434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes36c21,369$7,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,579.0113450%67 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe31…37a3backed Yes48c20,702$9,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,707.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked No22c20,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes48c19,870$9,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,431.715100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes15c19,196$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,339.9652828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes25c19,176$4,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,418.527123.9%17 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes15c19,050$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,264.461014%4 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes55c18,335$10,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,327.3925643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes30c17,945$5,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,525.737051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes47c17,586$8,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,364.621625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Yes11c17,526$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,527.5828556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes18c17,198$3,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,156.1621713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes17c16,739$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,881.5224351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…53c8backed Yes25c16,394$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,293.631631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes49c15,453$7,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,946.841833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc66…47a9backed Yes40c15,042$6,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,031.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+69.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x92dd…5c0dbacked Yes6c14,874$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,952.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+706.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No69c14,427$10,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,005.24551.1%23 W · 22 L+9.9wins+0.22per pick29cpaid+235.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6f41…59babacked Yes6c14,286$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,385.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+757.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8a…9029backed Yes6c14,286$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,385.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,487.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb6…a79fbacked Yes6c14,175$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,281.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+693.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80c3…6ebabacked Yes6c14,056$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,1702100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+778.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06d2…7246backed Yes6c14,004$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,121.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,487.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec1…bfa6backed Yes26c13,793$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,163.024022.5%9 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe006…39b9backed Yes6c13,494$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,663.32128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e6…caeebacked Yes52c12,980$6,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,263.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed No52c11,992$6,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,189.769259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes7c11,648$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8212619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc829…5c80backed Yes70c11,554$8,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,476.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…7407backed Yes8c11,335$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,428.131560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes12c10,865$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,572.7512570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6be…e346backed Yes14c10,719$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,222.521513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes48c10,600$5,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,545.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…5f32backed Yes48c10,509$5,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,479.761637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes48c10,450$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,451.373256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed No53c10,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2805832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3df0…48f0backed Yes47c10,000$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.04333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a39…5077backed Yes40c9,597$3,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,715.661258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes47c9,232$4,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,914.99245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes48c9,158$4,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.154047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa741…5c0dbacked Yes48c8,888$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,638.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9af5…5312backed Yes11c8,887$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,882.72623.1%6 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+77.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes48c8,728$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.3239754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25e4…732fbacked Yes47c8,700$4,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes14c8,500$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,293.4114757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed No54c8,005$4,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.343119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes47c7,984$3,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,197.76944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes26c7,890$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,860.771969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Yes47c7,846$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.234245.2%19 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.