NFL · resolved market
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x436c765bcbdca98b4b773fc87be547dd1a3b7155eece9870bcb997e89b184950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,300,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,748,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,300,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 627 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 4,605,328$68,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,097.77 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 1c | 619,511$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.58 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 324,806$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.22 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 6c | 220,254$12,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,214.24 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc3…2f17backed Yes | 1c | 210,155$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.37 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Yes | 2c | 206,806$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 3c | 189,664$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.21 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…d05abacked Yes | 2c | 187,918$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 186,165$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.25 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 170,185$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.74 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 4c | 156,055$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,336.7 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 141,589$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.25 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 6c | 135,681$7,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.5 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 118,016$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.03 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 102,155$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.48 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 2c | 97,728$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.64 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 93,579$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.48 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 1c | 90,024$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.54 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 88,999$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…61f2backed Yes | 2c | 76,069$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 73,499$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 5c | 66,225$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.02 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes | 2c | 65,521$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 1c | 61,030$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 59,676$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.09 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…53c8backed Yes | 2c | 57,295$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 2c | 56,749$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 4c | 56,741$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.23 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…f72bbacked Yes | 1c | 52,441$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dea…6c6ebacked Yes | 1c | 52,388$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 52,097$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.18 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…d9c2backed Yes | 1c | 51,682$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…df0ebacked Yes | 1c | 51,526$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…50edbacked Yes | 1c | 51,352$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…d8e5backed Yes | 1c | 50,819$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…8130backed Yes | 1c | 49,839$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…6524backed Yes | 1c | 49,275$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…ce05backed Yes | 1c | 48,954$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4170…7df3backed Yes | 1c | 48,201$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…0e36backed Yes | 1c | 47,598$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…06aebacked Yes | 1c | 47,097$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 46,856$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…f6fcbacked Yes | 1c | 46,437$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…fe97backed Yes | 2c | 45,877$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…1b22backed Yes | 1c | 45,812$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579f…23a0backed Yes | 1c | 45,704$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…3de4backed Yes | 1c | 45,261$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…8970backed Yes | 1c | 45,154$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…91f6backed Yes | 1c | 45,148$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 44,204$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.52 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…446ebacked Yes | 1c | 41,689$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 40,459$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.36 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 2c | 40,224$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.16 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefba…9c01backed Yes | 1c | 34,508$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 1c | 32,615$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.78 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…f978backed Yes | 1c | 32,188$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 5c | 30,001$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.05 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fd…8ae6backed Yes | 7c | 28,431$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…17a2backed Yes | 1c | 28,060$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…5b57backed Yes | 5c | 24,528$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 24,299$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 23,499$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.49 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2550…f978backed Yes | 6c | 22,414$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1b7bbacked Yes | 2c | 22,000$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 21,727$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.79 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…7c40backed Yes | 1c | 21,173$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…7c79backed Yes | 1c | 20,461$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0350…cbfabacked Yes | 1c | 20,443$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…0f2fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,438$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504c…e38abacked Yes | 1c | 20,349$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…f56ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,293$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ae…69edbacked Yes | 1c | 20,274$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0876…9ea0backed Yes | 1c | 20,272$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…7f30backed Yes | 1c | 20,229$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc5…7f2abacked Yes | 1c | 20,200$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…0aa1backed Yes | 1c | 20,199$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…bfecbacked Yes | 1c | 20,139$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6a…172abacked Yes | 1c | 20,135$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f11…4b5fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,002$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…529cbacked Yes | 1c | 18,953$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26c…27eebacked Yes | 1c | 18,645$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…8647backed Yes | 2c | 18,533$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 1c | 17,806$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.73 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 1c | 16,789$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,178$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 5c | 15,819$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…2302backed Yes | 1c | 15,653$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…1307backed Yes | 1c | 15,403$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…3356backed Yes | 1c | 15,333$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Yes | 1c | 15,184$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,595$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…0445backed Yes | 1c | 14,517$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…83cabacked Yes | 6c | 14,286$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe377…f77abacked Yes | 2c | 14,028$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…26fbbacked Yes | 1c | 13,649$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 2c | 13,293$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…0c12backed Yes | 1c | 12,479$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.