TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,673,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,437,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,673,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 647 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c1,011,981$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.71014%4 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes1c557,438$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.0233328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes2c400,121$9,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,155.549240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes2c332,240$5,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,315.81333%1 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-94.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c189,322$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.95160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes1c171,103$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.7215722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5423…9d4cbacked Yes1c136,705$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes1c66,396$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.834330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes1c64,319$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.8628433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes1c59,643$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c54,383$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.91769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df7…5b21backed Yes0c52,433$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e3…504fbacked Yes0c52,194$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c52,129$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd72…3accbacked Yes1c51,750$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x120a…cae9backed Yes1c51,119$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ec…cf31backed Yes1c50,666$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3a…29c6backed Yes1c50,595$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ff…e302backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebc…9497backed Yes1c49,445$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070f…a3f6backed Yes1c49,009$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa091…8b5bbacked Yes1c48,274$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a4…a0e7backed Yes1c47,922$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed57…9d8cbacked Yes1c47,824$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b16…4667backed Yes1c47,209$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c47,000$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113557.3%4 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf677…dac0backed Yes1c46,930$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b8…c0d9backed Yes1c46,801$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes1c46,561$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.07166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3b…fae0backed Yes1c41,206$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3470%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344a…2e78backed Yes0c40,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c37,320$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.38464.3%2 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x352d…4584backed Yes0c35,327$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f97…c25bbacked Yes1c35,297$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3d…8f71backed Yes1c35,287$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf046…e5a1backed Yes1c35,184$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1340…6e46backed Yes1c35,118$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3086…4ccdbacked Yes1c35,040$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b1…a3ecbacked Yes1c35,023$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x875f…68d5backed Yes1c34,847$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6271…b755backed Yes1c34,839$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0b…09c2backed Yes1c34,742$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa246…6e1dbacked Yes1c34,564$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe369…a27ebacked Yes1c34,542$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7849…2117backed Yes1c34,520$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf200…2858backed Yes1c34,518$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff4…526abacked Yes1c34,490$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091f…9a2bbacked Yes1c34,367$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd86…27a4backed Yes1c34,342$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5260…7f34backed Yes1c34,342$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9e…f89cbacked Yes1c34,289$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x760a…6487backed Yes1c34,287$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b92…98cabacked Yes1c34,281$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e42…f42ebacked Yes1c34,186$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e51…52abbacked Yes1c34,185$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a4…7947backed Yes1c34,182$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d88…c912backed Yes1c34,131$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d64…f2c0backed Yes1c34,031$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e0…7745backed Yes1c34,029$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…5c31backed Yes1c34,028$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02e7…ed90backed Yes1c34,027$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf534…0e9ebacked Yes1c33,954$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f7…2728backed Yes1c33,942$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d20…173dbacked Yes1c33,929$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73e…5ad9backed Yes1c33,927$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…7ffdbacked Yes1c33,844$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb90…9f0cbacked Yes1c33,797$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3445…058fbacked Yes1c33,791$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x388d…1eb2backed Yes1c33,782$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e4…cdccbacked Yes1c33,770$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a1…49dfbacked Yes1c33,713$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe817…e788backed Yes1c33,644$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe60…e5b6backed Yes1c33,633$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9207…9643backed Yes1c33,584$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2b…6c4dbacked Yes1c33,548$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9b…e7e6backed Yes1c33,541$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3d…a04fbacked Yes1c33,524$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a65…cef3backed Yes1c33,519$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755c…a153backed Yes1c33,517$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df1…a8f9backed Yes1c33,509$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eeb…cf8fbacked Yes1c33,500$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1736…9ddcbacked Yes1c33,491$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…3441backed Yes1c33,488$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2247…5da6backed Yes1c33,468$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987c…3cd1backed Yes1c33,467$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6715…0b0abacked Yes1c33,460$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf2…cb30backed Yes1c33,408$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…e415backed Yes1c33,356$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x358c…77f2backed Yes1c33,321$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb3…b303backed Yes1c33,273$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f3…5523backed Yes1c33,217$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2259…edc8backed Yes1c33,193$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a21…08c8backed Yes1c33,159$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec6…1870backed Yes1c33,103$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf9…350fbacked Yes1c33,052$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7655…fe64backed Yes1c33,047$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a8…624ebacked Yes1c33,024$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225e…ccd5backed Yes1c33,001$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x763d…dc1bbacked Yes1c32,977$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124f…bd14backed Yes1c32,957$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.