NFL · resolved market
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f812245214ee9e3b8e7c5057df1474a1f427e633e895b8f698da7e1d56be643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,117,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,133,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,117,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 756,552$6,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.55 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…68eebacked Yes | 1c | 314,013$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 283,214$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.33 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 1c | 275,582$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.63 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…f02abacked Yes | 1c | 233,421$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…af97backed Yes | 1c | 176,008$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…79e9backed Yes | 1c | 176,002$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…669bbacked Yes | 1c | 176,002$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 170,374$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.96 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 157,276$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.55 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9344…0151backed Yes | 1c | 152,739$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a3…61b8backed Yes | 1c | 138,004$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 1c | 134,881$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.26 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 1c | 113,957$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.18 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.04 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…2155backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 1c | 93,570$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.18 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 1c | 91,362$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.89 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…3956backed Yes | 1c | 90,864$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…24e1backed Yes | 1c | 90,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4904…739abacked Yes | 1c | 88,001$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec34…e8d1backed Yes | 1c | 88,001$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…9bd5backed Yes | 0c | 85,994$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 79,012$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.09 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…2ce5backed Yes | 0c | 76,445$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…a691backed Yes | 0c | 76,445$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…e1c5backed Yes | 0c | 76,445$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…e483backed Yes | 0c | 76,394$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…6784backed Yes | 0c | 76,394$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 76,131$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.72 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce95…67febacked Yes | 0c | 75,199$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…eec4backed Yes | 0c | 75,198$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…1f2cbacked Yes | 0c | 66,895$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…28e3backed Yes | 0c | 66,895$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…cee5backed Yes | 0c | 66,895$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…3815backed Yes | 0c | 66,895$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d34…b281backed Yes | 0c | 66,895$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…6a08backed Yes | 0c | 66,895$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb1…59fcbacked Yes | 0c | 66,845$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f31…412ebacked Yes | 0c | 66,845$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…72bdbacked Yes | 0c | 66,845$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb58…bfc5backed Yes | 0c | 66,845$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…a493backed Yes | 0c | 66,845$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…7a2ebacked Yes | 0c | 66,845$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…d80bbacked Yes | 0c | 66,845$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…4262backed Yes | 0c | 66,845$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…fe10backed Yes | 0c | 62,667$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b66…9122backed Yes | 0c | 62,667$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…e5bebacked Yes | 0c | 62,667$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3985…54fcbacked Yes | 0c | 62,666$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x181b…4b3ebacked Yes | 0c | 62,666$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…f2b6backed Yes | 0c | 62,666$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…125bbacked Yes | 0c | 62,666$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…f842backed Yes | 0c | 62,666$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…9c61backed Yes | 0c | 62,666$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 62,596$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af4…5bafbacked Yes | 0c | 62,416$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe810…12b2backed Yes | 0c | 61,981$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45de…ca2abacked Yes | 0c | 61,835$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…a087backed Yes | 0c | 61,750$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…cc4fbacked Yes | 0c | 61,672$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…5bc0backed Yes | 0c | 61,554$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…5fffbacked Yes | 0c | 61,128$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…845bbacked Yes | 0c | 61,122$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…d574backed Yes | 0c | 60,203$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 56,696$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 1c | 56,426$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.96 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 53,607$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.64 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…776abacked Yes | 1c | 50,169$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ff72backed Yes | 1c | 49,448$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…7a00backed Yes | 1c | 47,952$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 1c | 47,530$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.13 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 1c | 45,731$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cc68backed Yes | 1c | 45,549$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…6478backed Yes | 1c | 45,463$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…1de0backed Yes | 1c | 45,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0983…7adbbacked Yes | 2c | 43,475$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…a398backed Yes | 1c | 41,399$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…bfb8backed Yes | 1c | 39,956$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…1b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 39,918$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…9a6abacked Yes | 1c | 38,788$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 35,603$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…001bbacked Yes | 1c | 35,556$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 35,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Yes | 1c | 32,900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 31,449$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…e341backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…b459backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Yes | 1c | 29,498$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…2dd9backed Yes | 1c | 28,413$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 26,650$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Yes | 0c | 26,111$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +4,066.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,821$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.21 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed Yes | 1c | 25,713$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…2f16backed Yes | 1c | 25,266$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 1c | 23,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…fd65backed Yes | 1c | 22,565$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…676ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 1c | 21,722$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…4a31backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.