NFL · resolved market
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa20bb3917e90f70e503d00387741ae8e65470de61e39ad46c09df3eafd599d4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,450,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,764,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,450,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 5c | 264,384$13,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,360.73 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 7c | 250,148$17,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,040.13 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 6c | 221,822$13,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,309.31 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 4c | 121,606$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.71 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 4c | 115,318$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.78 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked Yes | 6c | 95,060$6,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,007.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 4c | 89,529$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.52 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Yes | 9c | 84,038$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 2c | 81,971$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.58 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…48a2backed Yes | 7c | 75,440$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 4c | 70,476$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.54 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 4c | 70,000$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.26 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 5c | 57,368$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.86 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 4c | 50,213$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.56 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…fd65backed Yes | 1c | 47,669$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.18 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…7b8fbacked Yes | 1c | 38,498$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 4c | 36,086$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.04 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…cc27backed Yes | 3c | 29,610$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 4c | 27,126$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…18a3backed Yes | 2c | 26,313$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9924…99a1backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd172…f4bdbacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5356…8125backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 5c | 23,630$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.54 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 4c | 22,540$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…5e08backed Yes | 5c | 22,033$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…4ddfbacked Yes | 1c | 21,250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…4a26backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…0f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.54 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 15,987$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 4c | 15,649$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.06 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 6c | 15,600$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.07 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 15,220$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.29 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Yes | 3c | 14,068$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,799$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…ce13backed Yes | 3c | 13,510$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 2c | 12,523$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…2f0fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 3c | 12,350$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…6e3cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…2b44backed Yes | 9c | 11,435$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 4c | 10,533$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.9 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 10,524$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.78 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 5c | 10,280$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.82 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Yes | 5c | 9,713$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 5c | 9,489$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.64 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…546abacked Yes | 7c | 9,387$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes | 4c | 8,733$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e74…92a4backed Yes | 7c | 8,687$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…9dfebacked Yes | 1c | 8,559$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…8b9ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,520$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Yes | 4c | 8,170$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5653…590cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494b…6b1ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 7,800$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 3c | 7,451$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 4c | 7,205$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…cfd0backed Yes | 4c | 6,651$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 4c | 6,473$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…708fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,359$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 4c | 6,163$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.11 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…4beabacked Yes | 1c | 6,147$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 6c | 6,120$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.95 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…3a0cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd4…c07cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,572$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…8533backed Yes | 6c | 5,555$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.97 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1b7bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,500$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Yes | 4c | 5,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0105…7a15backed Yes | 1c | 5,422$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…4ff7backed Yes | 10c | 5,311$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 3c | 5,245$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…897dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Yes | 4c | 5,198$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…d1e9backed Yes | 4c | 5,121$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 5,115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1af…fac3backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 3c | 4,708$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 6c | 4,353$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Yes | 7c | 4,143$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.67 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…61bcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,099$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,082$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…c5e7backed Yes | 6c | 3,979$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,956$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f280backed Yes | 9c | 3,859$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Yes | 5c | 3,855$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…260bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…2c27backed Yes | 1c | 3,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…1e7bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,555$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…7459backed Yes | 4c | 3,503$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.