TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0c1…1b90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4316.3%7 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bo Nix win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from any Other state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.8
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$156.82
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+247.2%+$142.39
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$209.35
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,174.73
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$525.59
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.3
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+46.2%+$82.18
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$159.6
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+297.8%+$556.29
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$54.58
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$172
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$498.16
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$220.13
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,015.15
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$165.6
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump privatize USPS in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.71
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.42
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.13
Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+89.1%+$157.4
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$810.71
Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$700.05
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+163.2%+$32.63
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+426.3%+$85.26
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119.98
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+614.3%+$244.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,219.36
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Google forced to sell Chrome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.