NFL · resolved market

Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeac63aba0e4483cad2138aa41401e30363f50c8b583476a774cc895fa4a51d0f

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 19, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,640,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,544,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,640,594 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 842 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes	1c	278,157$2,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,246.8	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes	1c	252,745$1,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,769.21	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d76…eb01backed Yes	6c	217,874$14,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	1c	212,003$1,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,611.06	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Yes	5c	200,976$9,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,990.19	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	2c	200,000$3,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,795.99	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes	1c	184,496$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175.97	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Yes	1c	152,128$2,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,164.08	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	26cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2150…8293backed Yes	1c	149,601$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,196.55	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes	1c	144,852$1,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.79	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+175.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf6…f622backed Yes	1c	144,242$1,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,336.03	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	1c	140,063$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,487.18	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	2c	139,201$2,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,196.27	205	42%86 W · 119 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa967…a002backed Yes	1c	125,703$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.62	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes	1c	120,754$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.28	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-82.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a21…86f7backed Yes	6c	100,610$6,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,030	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes	1c	99,999$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	2c	89,626$2,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,092.14	284	36.3%103 W · 181 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	4c	85,042$3,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,521.97	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7762…8a01backed Yes	6c	77,410$4,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,295.34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	4c	71,094$2,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,784.73	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes	1c	67,471$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.77	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Yes	1c	66,666$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.87	257	44.4%114 W · 143 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Yes	1c	65,436$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.61	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4124…8af2backed Yes	4c	60,349$2,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,304.98	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Yes	6c	58,868$3,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,698.71	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x600b…42dcbacked Yes	1c	58,721$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.93	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+160.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81a6…9c48backed Yes	5c	58,289$2,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,626.26	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf98…0554backed Yes	3c	57,184$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,907.99	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Yes	5c	55,864$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,899.58	81	28.4%23 W · 58 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Yes	1c	53,514$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.12	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	3c	52,809$1,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.4	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	4c	52,520$2,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040.89	84	28.6%24 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee36…3776backed Yes	4c	50,000$1,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,796.7	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes	1c	49,652$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.56	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes	1c	47,121$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.98	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c0f…7b84backed Yes	6c	46,180$2,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,564.32	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	44,000$1,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,961.76	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes	1c	43,547$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.29	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+208.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes	1c	42,754$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.79	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes	1c	42,222$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Yes	1c	42,222$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Yes	1c	40,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x735f…0e5bbacked Yes	3c	39,550$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Yes	3c	38,335$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.62	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	1c	36,005$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.3	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	2c	35,973$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.19	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes	5c	34,560$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,871.51	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	1c	34,001$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.04	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b36…fd74backed Yes	1c	33,823$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.23	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x963e…40cebacked Yes	6c	33,260$1,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,837.51	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed Yes	1c	33,122$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.34	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+123.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	5c	31,255$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.64	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x065c…7891backed Yes	5c	30,614$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,409.73	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes	1c	29,538$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.76	73	4.1%3 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b1c…0cbdbacked Yes	1c	27,600$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf8…ff52backed Yes	5c	27,201$1,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,234.02	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9811…5de5backed Yes	2c	26,922$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.22	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+346.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes	1c	24,999$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	159	44%70 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Yes	4c	24,531$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.07	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yes	8c	24,055$1,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,861.63	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Yes	1c	23,972$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.57	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+194.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe910…8000backed Yes	4c	23,294$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	5c	23,250$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.04	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a66…a371backed Yes	4c	22,921$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae8…3ee1backed Yes	6c	22,692$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.68	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2256…9a29backed Yes	1c	22,100$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.63	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	1c	22,000$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4487…1ec1backed Yes	4c	21,910$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.19	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes	5c	21,802$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.54	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	5c	21,402$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.95	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	4c	21,246$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.65	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd652…7ba5backed Yes	4c	21,050$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.49	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e24…7f38backed Yes	3c	19,854$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+80%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca0…69b8backed Yes	6c	19,689$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	2c	19,638$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.01	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes	4c	19,499$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.03	251	37.5%94 W · 157 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes	3c	18,735$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.82	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd998…fad9backed Yes	5c	18,497$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.05	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	3c	18,324$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	16,610$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.44	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f45…b0afbacked Yes	1c	16,600$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes	1c	16,000$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	1c	15,279$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.07	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc120…a562backed Yes	5c	15,110$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes	1c	15,028$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.18	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Yes	3c	15,000$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.5	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a84…364ebacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Yes	5c	15,000$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.94	181	56.9%103 W · 78 L	+11.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	2c	15,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.99	66	7.6%5 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-81%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	5c	14,856$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.09	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c08…777cbacked Yes	1c	14,735$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ec…3db5backed Yes	5c	14,541$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.87	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	7c	14,434$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.86	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Yes	1c	14,286$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes	1c	14,286$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+146%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	2c	13,348$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.66	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes	1c	13,209$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.67	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9dc…4d2fbacked Yes	1c	13,000$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	3c	12,873$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.92	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?this page
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event