TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,490,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,874,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,490,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 763 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c7,583,730$33,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,285.47319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-81.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes0c3,199,998$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,400110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c1,684,507$7,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,218.62329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-77.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes1c1,683,523$9,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,468.88160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes1c1,371,215$9,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,587.992010%2 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-82.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5681…e113backed Yes1c1,000,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c908,097$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.621769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes1c868,907$8,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,573.65283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+175.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes0c630,415$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.12100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed83…a91fbacked Yes1c614,808$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014.471127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Yes1c550,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85010434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c250,063$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.83323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b3…a5d6backed Yes1c250,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2336…9e65backed Yes0c250,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f2…1240backed Yes1c240,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ee…9ababacked Yes0c205,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-87%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c195,000$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f3…baa8backed Yes0c178,932$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c170,109$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.75454.4%2 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+74%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes1c159,120$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.32147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-85.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Yes0c150,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Yes1c147,000$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8821127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7816…ce35backed Yes1c142,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0111…61b1backed Yes1c140,000$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes1c138,861$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.36219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9228…316abacked Yes1c133,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes1c116,219$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.321811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-68.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x600b…42dcbacked Yes0c110,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid+160.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c109,000$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+156.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes1c105,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a9…7f37backed Yes0c102,333$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Yes1c100,594$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.5770%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095c…de88backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cd…7014backed Yes1c100,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59bb…b1d4backed Yes1c95,347$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes0c90,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003815.8%6 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-75.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf538…6de0backed Yes1c85,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes1c81,283$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.9670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe7e…d9b3backed Yes1c80,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Yes1c78,000$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468120%0 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes1c78,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid+66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c60,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2504…1a39backed Yes1c60,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fe…41d1backed Yes1c59,714$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…e23fbacked Yes1c59,646$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed Yes1c55,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402737%10 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe6…2770backed Yes1c55,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fed…ad39backed Yes0c53,333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…5b91backed Yes1c50,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-77%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9d2…d3c6backed Yes1c50,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yes1c50,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507436.5%27 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes0c50,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec1a…3501backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes1c49,500$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39617144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe93f…1de4backed Yes1c46,666$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Yes0c40,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-81.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b37…98ebbacked Yes1c40,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c40,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cce…8713backed Yes0c40,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…ccf3backed Yes1c40,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Yes1c38,571$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b04…3a41backed Yes0c35,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5426…1339backed Yes0c34,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-33.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x153b…68ddbacked Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc96…9a8fbacked Yes1c33,027$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9450%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3753…dc42backed Yes1c31,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes1c30,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid-79.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c30,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c30,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7471…a6dabacked Yes0c30,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Yes1c28,571$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-71.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Yes1c28,304$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a3…f34bbacked Yes1c27,475$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b5…7a01backed Yes1c27,421$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes1c26,991$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9326331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb394…ca7bbacked Yes1c25,857$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004a…3d1bbacked Yes1c25,500$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x359c…fadebacked Yes1c25,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8516…8254backed Yes1c25,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a1…806bbacked Yes1c24,607$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed Yes1c24,100$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes0c24,049$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.15110%0 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yes1c22,944$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6114450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd232…7648backed Yes1c22,133$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ebf…78e2backed Yes1c21,076$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c20,249$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.24170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0fa…27c2backed Yes0c20,053$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-78.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b36…fd74backed Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…df4cbacked Yes1c20,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c20,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f9…3ac0backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d09…2445backed Yes1c20,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…2a24backed Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b4…ec9cbacked Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb194…40e1backed Yes0c20,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddd…d6f1backed Yes1c19,786$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.