TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8788…8aa8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-87.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$194
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.61
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.07
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.82
Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.06
Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.89
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$8.07
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$400
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$97.24
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.69
Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$164.72
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.03
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.21
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,040
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$266.35
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.83
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$1,540
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.35
Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick44cpaid-87.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$665.06
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135.51
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$351.06
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250.49
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.99
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$227.29
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$7.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$59.98
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$141.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.