NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c199202a332210c108091c6ef4effe8db0f90cea082c659a41691d63cc1433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 55c | 51,636$28,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,311.11 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 51c | 22,717$11,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,520.43 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Pelicans | 0c | 21,274$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 49c | 10,635$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.07 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Pelicans | 51c | 10,559$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.01 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…c8cfbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 6,900$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 49c | 5,987$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Pelicans | 53c | 5,422$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.49 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 4,974$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 3,958$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.21 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 3,841$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,688$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.82 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pelicans | 44c | 2,694$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.64 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 42c | 2,440$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Timberwolves | 56c | 2,354$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Timberwolves | 23c | 2,323$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.54 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Pelicans | 40c | 2,006$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.89 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.01 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,467$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.43 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,097$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 984.91$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…8aa8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 816.33$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 800.02$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.47 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 58c | 795.79$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pelicans | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 58c | 751.55$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.02 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pelicans | 54c | 704.99$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.69 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Timberwolves | 53c | 641.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Pelicans | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Pelicans | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Timberwolves | 33c | 396.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +6.8wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Pelicans | 21c | 348.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Pelicans | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Timberwolves | 46c | 298.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pelicans | 45c | 284.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Pelicans | 8c | 283.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Pelicans | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 274.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.89 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Pelicans | 24c | 266$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Pelicans | 24c | 266$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Pelicans | 24c | 266$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Timberwolves | 40c | 252$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.03 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Pelicans | 24c | 250$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pelicans | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pelicans | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Pelicans | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Pelicans | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Timberwolves | 42c | 221$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Pelicans | 25c | 213$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Pelicans | 25c | 213$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Pelicans | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Pelicans | 26c | 186$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans | 45c | 183.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Pelicans | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 165$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 162$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 159.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pelicans | 47c | 140.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pelicans | 48c | 131.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Pelicans | 46c | 94.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Pelicans | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Timberwolves | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Pelicans | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Timberwolves | 58c | 87.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Timberwolves | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Pelicans | 54c | 80.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Pelicans | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Timberwolves | 75c | 65.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Pelicans | 55c | 60.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Pelicans | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pelicans | 47c | 58.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Timberwolves | 53c | 54.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Pelicans | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Timberwolves | 58c | 52.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Pelicans | 25c | 49.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Pelicans | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 43.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 42.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 42.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Timberwolves | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Pelicans | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Timberwolves | 79c | 37.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…b5a0backed Pelicans | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 33.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb682…2d79backed Timberwolves | 53c | 31.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.