NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33265b2ed7b43634ed6831b84f1cabd17754c6c259ee2ff7472d53103c1fb6a3

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pelicansof Timberwolves, Pelicans
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,949 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7829…cfd3backed Pelicans	57c	15,561$8,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,752.37	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves	43c	6,740$2,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,898.15	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	44c	2,927$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.35	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	44c	2,560$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.39	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91cb…52e7backed Timberwolves	43c	1,620$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9421…f6b0backed Timberwolves	43c	1,570$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd86…b5dbbacked Timberwolves	43c	1,515$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	43c	1,299$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.45	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	49c	1,234$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.02	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Pelicans	79c	1,100$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.43	21	95.2%20 W · 1 L	+6.8wins	+0.32per pick	63cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xcf8c…2f40backed Timberwolves	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88b…976cbacked Timberwolves	46c	995$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.7	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	48cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	44c	994.33$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.91	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pelicans	51c	890.61$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.88	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Pelicans	54c	740$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.4	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Timberwolves	46c	706.29$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.89	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-7.1wins	-0.25per pick	43cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Timberwolves	46c	654.1$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.88	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves	42c	648.06$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.67	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Timberwolves	45c	644.67$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.1	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Pelicans	53c	642.36$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.91	313	54.3%170 W · 143 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves	44c	600$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6b…4c24backed Timberwolves	47c	544.42$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.88	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Timberwolves	26c	506.79$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.08	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves	44c	450$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f73…6d1cbacked Pelicans	57c	341.82$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.98	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Timberwolves	27c	310$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.1	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Pelicans	61c	292.95$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.8	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pelicans	50c	290.51$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.34	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves	45c	282.31$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.23	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Timberwolves	46c	280.6$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.08	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-7.6wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Timberwolves	28c	270.87$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.38	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pelicans	55c	250$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Timberwolves	44c	236.77$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.18	200	40%80 W · 120 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves	44c	212.59$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.48	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves	45c	212.42$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.59	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Timberwolves	45c	200.17$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.08	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked Timberwolves	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+21%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Pelicans	51c	194.12$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.12	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pelicans	60c	191.86$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.7	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Pelicans	53c	183.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	44c	180.51$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.76	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xba4b…cc06backed Pelicans	57c	170.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.49	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Timberwolves	18c	160$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	312	38.5%120 W · 192 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Timberwolves	17c	160$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	138	37.7%52 W · 86 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans	64c	153.12$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.29	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Timberwolves	17c	151.09$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.69	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Timberwolves	45c	121.16$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.14	131	38.2%50 W · 81 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Timberwolves	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Timberwolves	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+16.4wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Timberwolves	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Timberwolves	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pelicans	60c	95.93$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.85	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans	60c	95.93$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.85	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pelicans	60c	95.93$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.85	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Pelicans	60c	95.93$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.85	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Timberwolves	43c	91.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.89	346	41%142 W · 204 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Timberwolves	45c	87.03$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	134	47%63 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Timberwolves	45c	87.03$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	261	47.1%123 W · 138 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans	57c	84.76$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.44	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Timberwolves	45c	83.16$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	162	45.1%73 W · 89 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Timberwolves	45c	83.16$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	187	44.4%83 W · 104 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21b8…47f4backed Timberwolves	38c	82$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.18	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2e…0d9ebacked Pelicans	61c	80.05$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Timberwolves	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	236	49.2%116 W · 120 L	+28.6wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Timberwolves	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	166	40.4%67 W · 99 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Timberwolves	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	212	42%89 W · 123 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Timberwolves	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	234	41.5%97 W · 137 L	+13.6wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Timberwolves	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	455	44.8%204 W · 251 L	+21.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Pelicans	57c	76.62$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.95	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves	49c	73.75$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.1	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pelicans	61c	72.04$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.1	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Pelicans	59c	71.92$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.49	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Pelicans	59c	71.92$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.49	376	47.3%178 W · 198 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pelicans	59c	71.92$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.49	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Pelicans	59c	71.92$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.49	234	45.7%107 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans	47c	68.81$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.47	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Timberwolves	45c	61.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.85	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pelicans	53c	55.38$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.21	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves	45c	53.59$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Pelicans	59c	49.6$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.33	570	51.9%296 W · 274 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Timberwolves	44c	45.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Pelicans	57c	42.73$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.37	257	52.5%135 W · 122 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves	48c	41.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.11	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Pelicans	59c	41.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.95	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Pelicans	59c	41.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.95	378	53.4%202 W · 176 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Pelicans	58c	40.16$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.76	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans	56c	34.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Timberwolves	42c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ea…8cd0backed Timberwolves	50c	29.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+29%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Timberwolves	52c	29.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.44	112	32.1%36 W · 76 L	-17.3wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Timberwolves	45c	25.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Timberwolves	45c	24.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	166	47%78 W · 88 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Timberwolves	44c	24.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	400	48.3%193 W · 207 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pelicans	61c	24.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.37	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Pelicans	61c	24.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.37	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Pelicans	61c	24.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.37	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Timberwolves	44c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	390	41%160 W · 230 L	-32.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Timberwolves	43c	23.53$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Pelicans	55c	22.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.02	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event