NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x592c1026bd8dfbab89f2461694eb5d883cce0375c0c063726c7c01f8df34d246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pelicans | 59c | 82,663$48,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,769.96 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 41c | 78,110$32,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,084.64 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 9,943$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.1 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pelicans | 51c | 6,818$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.08 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 6,260$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 50c | 6,240$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.79 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pelicans | 52c | 3,737$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.44 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,548$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.46 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 51c | 2,892$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,598$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.84 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pelicans | 43c | 2,593$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.67 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,574$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.78 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans | 54c | 2,411$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.71 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Pelicans | 54c | 1,770$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.92 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,672$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.27 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,562$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,382$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.45 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,324$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pelicans | 38c | 1,275$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.81 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pelicans | 56c | 1,143$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.82 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 42c | 1,142$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.72 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,139$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,079$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.39 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,056$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.87 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Pelicans | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Timberwolves | 51c | 894.01$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.74 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 883.08$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 809.66$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.12 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Timberwolves | 46c | 769.47$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Pelicans | 35c | 703.73$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 604.42$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Timberwolves | 48c | 599.5$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.74 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pelicans | 49c | 586.44$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.52 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Timberwolves | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Timberwolves | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 330.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Pelicans | 50c | 325.15$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 323.14$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 321.34$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pelicans | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pelicans | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Timberwolves | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Pelicans | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 47c | 265.03$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 48c | 249.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 50c | 219.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 209.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pelicans | 51c | 200.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 199.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Timberwolves | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Timberwolves | 56c | 190.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Pelicans | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Pelicans | 12c | 189.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 57c | 171.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Timberwolves | 52c | 151.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Timberwolves | 49c | 150.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Pelicans | 55c | 141.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Pelicans | 44c | 137.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 119.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 102.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Timberwolves | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 96.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Pelicans | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pelicans | 13c | 94.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Pelicans | 41c | 88.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 50c | 86.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Pelicans | 22c | 83.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pelicans | 39c | 77.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Pelicans | 52c | 75.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 71.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Pelicans | 50c | 66.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…b743backed Timberwolves | 45c | 62.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Timberwolves | 44c | 55.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Timberwolves | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pelicans | 55c | 53.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Timberwolves | 45c | 53.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Pelicans | 38c | 49.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 39.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Timberwolves | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Timberwolves | 50c | 36.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 34.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pelicans | 44c | 33.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 30.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Timberwolves | 55c | 29.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…bbf6backed Timberwolves | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.