TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccea…a8eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
350
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT23348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 233 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$102.94
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,560
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.63
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.99
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.7
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.26
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,144.77
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.28
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,888.68
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$760
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.52
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$108.37
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.26
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$364.76
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$4,080
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$629.99
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,190.91
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,479.91
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$950
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$159.99
Showing 25 of 233 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$480
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$2,030
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$2,525.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,987Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,023.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,555.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$1,080
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,769.99
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,400.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,724.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$800
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,701Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$998.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,549.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$560
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,871Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25.2%+$974
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.7%+$1,087.16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,284.18
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,294.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,720
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,320
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,880
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$570
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,899.98
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+278.7%+$3,679.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,550.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+284.6%+$739.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,149.99
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$497.34
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,339.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,518Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$781.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+93.5%+$1,450
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$159.09
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+244.8%+$355
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$840
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$2,202.64
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300.78
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$182.65
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Benin win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100.85
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$804.3
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$157.25
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.8%+$665.13
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,970Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+67%+$2,659.81
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,311Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.9%+$2,608.8
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+73.2%+$304.61
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,197Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+27.9%+$891.57
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$76.99
Will Greece vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$729.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$590.46
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$374.35
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.62
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$51.3
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$311.48
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,550
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,472Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,059.41
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,680
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,200.04
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,523.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$750
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$907.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$578.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$1,860
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,130
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+54%+$1,086.46
Avalanche vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$213.12
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$70.56
All 5 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$850.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,839Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37%+$2,161.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$930.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$944.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,799.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.